Language:English
Tristan Schoolkate v Flavio Cobolli
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tristan Schoolkate (Local)
Prediction 21.00%4.76fair odd
EV +6.04%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.090%
assuming max odds 5.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.94%20.85%21.05%22.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.474.455.0523.81%22.35%22.47%19.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Flavio Cobolli (Visit)
Prediction 79.00%1.27fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -12.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.63%79.15%78.95%81.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.201.211.2386.21%83.25%82.99%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tristan Schoolkate (Local): 21.00%; Flavio Cobolli (Visit): 79.00%. For Tristan Schoolkate (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.76. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +6.04%E +1.20%K +1.49%G +0.090% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -6.78%E -5.74%K -37.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +4.99%E +0.997%K +1.25%G +0.062% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -0.263%E -0.055%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.263%E -0.055%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 10:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.263%E -0.055%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.67%EV -0.893%E -0.189%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.33%EV -2.83%E -2.30%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-03 11:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.78%E -5.74%K -37.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 10:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -4.46%E -0.981%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.78%E -5.74%K -37.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -4.67%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.35%EV -4.67%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.65%EV -8.36%E -7.20%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 11:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 11:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 11:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 10:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 10:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 11:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 10:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.78%E -5.74%K -37.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 10:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -8.66%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 11:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:48 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.71%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.71%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 11:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -9.71%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.76%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.76%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -11.81%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 18:40 |
| Novig◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.59% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.41% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 1.6% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 2.0% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |