Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tristan Schoolkate v Flavio Cobolli

Início: 2026-09-03 18:57 UTC

Final: Tristan Schoolkate 1–3 Flavio Cobolli

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tristan Schoolkate (Local)

Previsão 21.00%4.76odd justa
EV +6.04%
Vantagem +1.20%
Kelly +1.49%
Crescimento +0.090%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.94%20.85%21.05%22.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.474.455.0523.81%22.35%22.47%19.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)

Previsão 79.00%1.27odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -2.30%
Kelly -12.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.63%79.15%78.95%81.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.161.201.211.2386.21%83.25%82.99%81.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tristan Schoolkate (Local): 21.00%; Flavio Cobolli (Visitante): 79.00%. Para Tristan Schoolkate (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.76. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.05, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.04%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +6.04%E +1.20%K +1.49%G +0.090%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -6.78%E -5.74%K -37.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 18:55
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +4.99%E +0.997%K +1.25%G +0.062%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 11:55
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -0.263%E -0.055%K -0.070%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 18:50
FanDuel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.263%E -0.055%K -0.070%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 10:50
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.263%E -0.055%K -0.070%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 10:45
Pinnacle🎯4.72I 21.19%NM 20.67%EV -0.893%E -0.189%K -0.240%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.33%EV -2.83%E -2.30%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 11:15
ReBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 15:30
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.78%E -5.74%K -37.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 10:45
LeoVegas🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -4.46%E -0.981%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.78%E -5.74%K -37.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 18:55
1xBet🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -4.67%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 18:50
GTbets🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 20.35%EV -4.67%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.65%EV -8.36%E -7.20%K -52.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 11:10
BetUS🎯4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 18:40
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 11:18
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 11:15
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 11:15
MyBookie.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:55
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:50
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:50
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 10:45
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 18:40
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 18:55
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 18:55
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 11:15
theScore Bet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:50
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 18:50
Betsson🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:50
Casumo🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:55
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:50
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:50
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:55
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:50
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:50
Bally Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 18:55
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 10:35
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 10:34
Caesars🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.78%E -5.74%K -37.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 10:54
Fliff🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -8.66%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 18:50
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 11:10
betano_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 10:48
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 10:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 10:35
PlayUp🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.71%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 18:55
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.71%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 11:15
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -9.71%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 16:55
Neds🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.76%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.76%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:35
NetBet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -11.81%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 18:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-09-03 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-09-03 18:50
Smarkets◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-09-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-09-03 18:40
Novig◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%1.0%2026-09-03 18:55
ProphetX◎5.05I 19.80%NM 19.59%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.41%1.1%2026-09-03 18:55
Matchbook◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%1.6%2026-09-03 18:55
Kalshi◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%2.0%2026-09-03 18:55