StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Tristan Schoolkate v Flavio Cobolli

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-03 18:57 UTC

Endstand: Tristan Schoolkate 1–3 Flavio Cobolli

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Tristan Schoolkate (Heim)

Prognose 21.00%4.76faire Quote
EV +6.04%
Vorteil +1.20%
Kelly +1.49%
Wachstum +0.090%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.05

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.94%20.85%21.05%22.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.204.474.455.0523.81%22.35%22.47%19.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Flavio Cobolli (Auswärts)

Prognose 79.00%1.27faire Quote
EV -2.83%
Vorteil -2.30%
Kelly -12.29%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.23

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
77.63%79.15%78.95%81.06%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.161.201.211.2386.21%83.25%82.99%81.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Tristan Schoolkate (Heim): 21.00%; Flavio Cobolli (Auswärts): 79.00%. Für Tristan Schoolkate (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.76. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.05 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +6.04%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
DraftKings🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +6.04%E +1.20%K +1.49%G +0.090%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -6.78%E -5.74%K -37.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 18:55
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +4.99%E +0.997%K +1.25%G +0.062%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 11:55
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -0.263%E -0.055%K -0.070%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 18:50
FanDuel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.263%E -0.055%K -0.070%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 10:50
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.263%E -0.055%K -0.070%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 10:45
Pinnacle🎯4.72I 21.19%NM 20.67%EV -0.893%E -0.189%K -0.240%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.33%EV -2.83%E -2.30%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 11:15
ReBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 15:30
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.78%E -5.74%K -37.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 10:45
LeoVegas🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -4.46%E -0.981%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.78%E -5.74%K -37.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 18:55
1xBet🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -4.67%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 18:50
GTbets🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 20.35%EV -4.67%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.65%EV -8.36%E -7.20%K -52.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 11:10
BetUS🎯4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 18:40
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 11:18
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 11:15
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 11:15
MyBookie.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:55
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:50
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:50
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 10:45
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 18:40
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 18:55
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 18:55
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 11:15
theScore Bet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:50
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 18:50
Betsson🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:50
Casumo🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:55
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:50
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:50
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:55
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:50
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:50
Bally Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 18:55
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 10:35
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 10:34
Caesars🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.78%E -5.74%K -37.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 10:54
Fliff🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -8.66%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 18:50
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 11:10
betano_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 10:48
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 10:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 10:35
PlayUp🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.71%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 18:55
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.71%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 11:15
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -9.71%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 16:55
Neds🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.76%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.76%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:35
NetBet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -11.81%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 18:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-09-03 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-09-03 18:50
Smarkets◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-09-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-09-03 18:40
Novig◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%1.0%2026-09-03 18:55
ProphetX◎5.05I 19.80%NM 19.59%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.41%1.1%2026-09-03 18:55
Matchbook◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%1.6%2026-09-03 18:55
Kalshi◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%2.0%2026-09-03 18:55