Idioma:Español
Tristan Schoolkate v Flavio Cobolli
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tristan Schoolkate (Local)
Predicción 21.00%4.76momio equitativo
EV +6.04%
Ventaja +1.20%
Kelly +1.49%
Crecimiento +0.090%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.94%20.85%21.05%22.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.474.455.0523.81%22.35%22.47%19.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)
Predicción 79.00%1.27momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -2.30%
Kelly -12.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.63%79.15%78.95%81.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.161.201.211.2386.21%83.25%82.99%81.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tristan Schoolkate (Local): 21.00%; Flavio Cobolli (Visitante): 79.00%. Para Tristan Schoolkate (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.76. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.05, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.04%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +6.04%E +1.20%K +1.49%G +0.090% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -6.78%E -5.74%K -37.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +4.99%E +0.997%K +1.25%G +0.062% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -0.263%E -0.055%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.263%E -0.055%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 10:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.263%E -0.055%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 10:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.67%EV -0.893%E -0.189%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.33%EV -2.83%E -2.30%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-03 11:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.41%E -0.742%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.78%E -5.74%K -37.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 10:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -4.46%E -0.981%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.78%E -5.74%K -37.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -4.67%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.35%EV -4.67%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.65%EV -8.36%E -7.20%K -52.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 11:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -5.30%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 11:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 11:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 10:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 10:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.51%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.57%E -6.47%K -44.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 11:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 10:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.61%E -1.73%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.78%E -5.74%K -37.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 10:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -8.66%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 11:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:48 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.08%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.20%E -4.33%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.71%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.71%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 11:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -9.71%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.99%E -5.03%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.76%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.76%E -2.53%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.62%E -2.96%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -11.81%E -2.81%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.41%E -3.64%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 18:40 |
| Novig◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.59% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.41% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 1.6% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 2.0% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |