语言:简体中文
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Arthur Fils
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Stefanos Tsitsipas (主队)
预测 19.01%5.26公平赔率
EV +4.92%
优势 +0.891%
Kelly +1.09%
增长率 +0.053%
假设最高赔率为 5.52
博彩公司预测分布
17.29%19.21%18.83%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.205.025.035.5223.81%19.90%19.90%18.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
Arthur Fils (客队)
预测 80.99%1.23公平赔率
EV -2.00%
优势 -1.65%
Kelly -9.51%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.21
博彩公司预测分布
77.78%80.79%81.17%82.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.141.171.171.2187.72%85.28%85.47%82.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Stefanos Tsitsipas (主队)：19.01%；Arthur Fils (客队)：80.99%。 对于“Stefanos Tsitsipas (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.26。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.52，对应+4.92%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.61%EV +4.92%E +0.891%K +1.09%G +0.053% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.39%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +4.54%E +0.825%K +1.01%G +0.046% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.54%E +0.825%K +1.01%G +0.046% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.86%E -5.96%K -45.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +2.64%E +0.488%K +0.599%G +0.016% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +2.64%E +0.488%K +0.599%G +0.016% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +2.64%E +0.488%K +0.599%G +0.016% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.33I 18.76%NM 18.50%EV +1.31%E +0.245%K +0.302%G +0.004% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.50%EV -2.00%E -1.65%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-31 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.215%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 14:28 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.215%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 14:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -1.17%E -0.224%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 13:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -1.17%E -0.224%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.17%E -0.224%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.86%E -5.96%K -45.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -4.02%E -0.795%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -4.02%E -0.795%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 13:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.86%E -5.96%K -45.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.86%E -5.96%K -45.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.67%E -6.73%K -54.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.67%E -6.73%K -54.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -6.87%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -2.81%E -2.34%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -8.77%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -2.81%E -2.34%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.72%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.72%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -10.67%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.81%E -2.34%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -11.62%E -2.50%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.62%E -3.04%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.38%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.62%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.38%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.62%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.57%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.47%E -3.22%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.81%E -2.34%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -15.42%E -3.47%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -2.81%E -2.34%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -20.17%E -4.80%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.81%E -2.34%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 11:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |