StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Arthur Fils

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-31 15:05 UTC

Endstand: Stefanos Tsitsipas 3–1 Arthur Fils

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Heim)

Prognose 19.01%5.26faire Quote
EV +4.92%
Vorteil +0.891%
Kelly +1.09%
Wachstum +0.053%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.52

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.29%19.21%18.83%22.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.205.025.035.5223.81%19.90%19.90%18.12%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Fils (Auswärts)

Prognose 80.99%1.23faire Quote
EV -2.00%
Vorteil -1.65%
Kelly -9.51%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.21

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
77.78%80.79%81.17%82.71%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.141.171.171.2187.72%85.28%85.47%82.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Stefanos Tsitsipas (Heim): 19.01%; Arthur Fils (Auswärts): 80.99%. Für Stefanos Tsitsipas (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.26. 7 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.52 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.92%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯5.52I 18.12%NM 17.61%EV +4.92%E +0.891%K +1.09%G +0.053%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.39%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-31 14:40
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +4.54%E +0.825%K +1.01%G +0.046%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-31 14:05
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.54%E +0.825%K +1.01%G +0.046%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.86%E -5.96%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +2.64%E +0.488%K +0.599%G +0.016%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +2.64%E +0.488%K +0.599%G +0.016%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 14:35
FanDuel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +2.64%E +0.488%K +0.599%G +0.016%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 13:30
GTbets🎯5.33I 18.76%NM 18.50%EV +1.31%E +0.245%K +0.302%G +0.004%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.50%EV -2.00%E -1.65%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-31 13:35
Bovada🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.215%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 14:28
Betclic (FR)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.215%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 14:39
Unibet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -1.17%E -0.224%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 13:35
ReBet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -1.17%E -0.224%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.17%E -0.224%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.86%E -5.96%K -45.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 13:20
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:30
MyBookie.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 13:35
TABtouch🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:30
Casumo🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:30
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:30
Svenska Spel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:30
Bally Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:30
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:30
betPARX🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:30
BetRivers🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:30
NetBet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:30
BetAnything🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 15:00
1xBet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -4.02%E -0.795%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 14:55
DraftKings🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -4.02%E -0.795%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 15:00
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 10:35
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 11:30
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 13:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 15:00
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 13:15
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 13:30
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 13:30
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 13:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 13:20
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 14:05
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 15:00
Fliff🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.86%E -5.96%K -45.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 15:00
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.86%E -5.96%K -45.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.67%E -6.73%K -54.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 11:30
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.67%E -6.73%K -54.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -6.87%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -2.81%E -2.34%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -8.77%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -2.81%E -2.34%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 15:00
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.72%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 15:00
TAB🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.72%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -10.67%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.81%E -2.34%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 15:00
Fanatics🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -11.62%E -2.50%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.62%E -3.04%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 14:50
NordicBet🎯4.61I 21.69%NM 20.38%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.62%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 15:00
Betsson🎯4.61I 21.69%NM 20.38%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.62%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 15:00
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.57%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 15:00
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.47%E -3.22%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.81%E -2.34%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:49
theScore Bet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -15.42%E -3.47%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -2.81%E -2.34%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 15:00
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -20.17%E -4.80%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.81%E -2.34%K -14.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 11:29
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%0.2%2026-08-31 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%0.2%2026-08-31 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%0.2%2026-08-31 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%0.2%2026-08-31 15:00
ProphetX◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-08-31 15:00
Novig◎5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63%0.8%2026-08-31 14:30
Kalshi◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%1.0%2026-08-31 15:00
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-08-31 14:50