Langue:Français
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Arthur Fils
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local)
Prévision 19.01%5.26cote équitable
EV +4.92%
Avantage +0.891%
Kelly +1.09%
Croissance +0.053%
avec la cote maximale 5.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.29%19.21%18.83%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.205.025.035.5223.81%19.90%19.90%18.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Arthur Fils (Visiteur)
Prévision 80.99%1.23cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -9.51%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.78%80.79%81.17%82.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.141.171.171.2187.72%85.28%85.47%82.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local) : 19.01% ; Arthur Fils (Visiteur) : 80.99%. Pour Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.26. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.52, soit une espérance positive de +4.92%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.61%EV +4.92%E +0.891%K +1.09%G +0.053% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.39%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +4.54%E +0.825%K +1.01%G +0.046% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.54%E +0.825%K +1.01%G +0.046% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.86%E -5.96%K -45.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +2.64%E +0.488%K +0.599%G +0.016% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +2.64%E +0.488%K +0.599%G +0.016% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +2.64%E +0.488%K +0.599%G +0.016% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.33I 18.76%NM 18.50%EV +1.31%E +0.245%K +0.302%G +0.004% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.50%EV -2.00%E -1.65%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-31 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.215%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 14:28 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.215%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 14:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -1.17%E -0.224%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 13:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -1.17%E -0.224%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.17%E -0.224%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.86%E -5.96%K -45.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -3.07%E -0.601%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -4.02%E -0.795%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -4.02%E -0.795%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 10:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.24%E -4.48%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 13:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.86%E -5.96%K -45.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.86%E -5.96%K -45.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.67%E -6.73%K -54.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.97%E -0.993%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.67%E -6.73%K -54.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -6.87%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -2.81%E -2.34%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -8.77%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -2.81%E -2.34%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.72%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.72%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -10.67%E -2.27%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.81%E -2.34%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -11.62%E -2.50%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.62%E -3.04%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.38%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.62%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.38%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.62%EV -4.43%E -3.75%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.57%E -2.73%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.05%E -5.21%K -37.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.47%E -3.22%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.81%E -2.34%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -15.42%E -3.47%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -2.81%E -2.34%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -20.17%E -4.80%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.81%E -2.34%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 11:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 14:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |