Språk:Svenska
Sebastian Gorzny v Raphael Collignon
Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →
Matchresultat
Sebastian Gorzny (Hemma)
Prognos 15.47%6.46rättvist odds
EV +3.64%
Fördel +0.543%
Kelly +0.638%
Tillväxt +0.023%
med antagandet om högsta odds 6.70
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.21%15.76%15.46%18.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.196.106.206.7019.27%16.39%16.13%14.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Raphael Collignon (Borta)
Prognos 84.53%1.18rättvist odds
EV -1.10%
Fördel -0.939%
Kelly -6.46%
Tillväxt +0.000%
med antagandet om högsta odds 1.17
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
81.60%84.24%84.54%85.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.091.121.121.1791.74%89.04%89.29%85.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Sebastian Gorzny (Hemma): 15.47%; Raphael Collignon (Borta): 84.53%. För Sebastian Gorzny (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.46. 11 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.70, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.64%.
Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)
Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.
| Spelbolag | Hemma ▼ | Borta | Marginal | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +3.64%E +0.543%K +0.638%G +0.023% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.52%EV +2.87%E +0.431%K +0.507%G +0.015% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.48%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.52%EV +2.87%E +0.431%K +0.507%G +0.015% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.48%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.75%EV +1.94%E +0.294%K +0.347%G +0.007% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.25%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.02%E -6.38%K -70.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.02%E -6.38%K -70.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 08:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -1.00%E -0.157%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.00%E -0.157%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 21:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.28I 15.92%NM 14.79%EV -2.86%E -0.455%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.21%EV -7.86%E -7.21%K -87.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 08:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 22:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.02%E -6.38%K -70.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 05:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.10%E -0.661%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.10%E -0.661%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.10%E -0.661%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -4.10%E -0.661%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -7.02%E -6.38%K -70.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 08:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -10.28%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -1.94%E -1.68%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.06%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -11.83%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -2.79%E -2.43%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -14.15%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -2.79%E -2.43%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.79%E -2.43%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.79%E -2.43%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -16.47%E -3.05%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -16.47%E -3.05%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -16.47%E -3.05%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -19.72%E -3.80%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -1.10%E -0.939%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt
Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.
Spelbörser (8)
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta | Marginal ▲ | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82% | 2.2% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.54% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.46% | 2.6% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |