Lingua:Italiano
Sebastian Gorzny v Raphael Collignon
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Sebastian Gorzny (Casa)
Previsione 15.47%6.46quota equa
EV +3.64%
Vantaggio +0.543%
Kelly +0.638%
Crescita +0.023%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.21%15.76%15.46%18.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.196.106.206.7019.27%16.39%16.13%14.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Raphael Collignon (Trasferta)
Previsione 84.53%1.18quota equa
EV -1.10%
Vantaggio -0.939%
Kelly -6.46%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.17
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
81.60%84.24%84.54%85.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.091.121.121.1791.74%89.04%89.29%85.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Sebastian Gorzny (Casa): 15.47%; Raphael Collignon (Trasferta): 84.53%. Per Sebastian Gorzny (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.46. 11 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.64%.
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +3.64%E +0.543%K +0.638%G +0.023% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.52%EV +2.87%E +0.431%K +0.507%G +0.015% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.48%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.52%EV +2.87%E +0.431%K +0.507%G +0.015% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.48%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.75%EV +1.94%E +0.294%K +0.347%G +0.007% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.25%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.02%E -6.38%K -70.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.02%E -6.38%K -70.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 08:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -1.00%E -0.157%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.00%E -0.157%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 21:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.28I 15.92%NM 14.79%EV -2.86%E -0.455%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.21%EV -7.86%E -7.21%K -87.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 08:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 22:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.02%E -6.38%K -70.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 05:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.10%E -0.661%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.10%E -0.661%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.10%E -0.661%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -4.10%E -0.661%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -7.02%E -6.38%K -70.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 08:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -10.28%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -1.94%E -1.68%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.06%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -11.83%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -2.79%E -2.43%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -14.15%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -2.79%E -2.43%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.79%E -2.43%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.79%E -2.43%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -16.47%E -3.05%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -16.47%E -3.05%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -16.47%E -3.05%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -19.72%E -3.80%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -1.10%E -0.939%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82% | 2.2% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.54% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.46% | 2.6% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |