Sprache:Deutsch
Sebastian Gorzny v Raphael Collignon
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Sebastian Gorzny (Heim)
Prognose 15.47%6.46faire Quote
EV +3.64%
Vorteil +0.543%
Kelly +0.638%
Wachstum +0.023%
bei einer Höchstquote von 6.70
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.21%15.76%15.46%18.40%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.196.106.206.7019.27%16.39%16.13%14.93%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Raphael Collignon (Auswärts)
Prognose 84.53%1.18faire Quote
EV -1.10%
Vorteil -0.939%
Kelly -6.46%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.17
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
81.60%84.24%84.54%85.79%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.091.121.121.1791.74%89.04%89.29%85.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Sebastian Gorzny (Heim): 15.47%; Raphael Collignon (Auswärts): 84.53%. Für Sebastian Gorzny (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.46. 11 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.70 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.64%.
Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +3.64%E +0.543%K +0.638%G +0.023% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.52%EV +2.87%E +0.431%K +0.507%G +0.015% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.48%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.52%EV +2.87%E +0.431%K +0.507%G +0.015% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.48%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.75%EV +1.94%E +0.294%K +0.347%G +0.007% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.25%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.02%E -6.38%K -70.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.545%E +0.084%K +0.099%G +0.001% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.02%E -6.38%K -70.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 08:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -1.00%E -0.157%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -1.00%E -0.157%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 21:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.28I 15.92%NM 14.79%EV -2.86%E -0.455%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.21%EV -7.86%E -7.21%K -87.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 08:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 22:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 21:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -3.32%E -0.532%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.02%E -6.38%K -70.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 05:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.10%E -0.661%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.10%E -0.661%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.10%E -0.661%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -4.10%E -0.661%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -7.02%E -6.38%K -70.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 08:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.17%E -5.56%K -56.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -10.28%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -1.94%E -1.68%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 22:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.06%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -11.83%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -2.79%E -2.43%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -14.15%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -2.79%E -2.43%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.79%E -2.43%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.79%E -2.43%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.32%E -4.75%K -44.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -16.47%E -3.05%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -16.47%E -3.05%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -3.63%E -3.19%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -16.47%E -3.05%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.48%E -3.96%K -34.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -19.72%E -3.80%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -1.10%E -0.939%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (8)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82% | 2.2% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.54% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.46% | 2.6% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |