StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Roman Safiullin v Carlos Alcaraz

Matchstart: 2026-08-31 17:29 UTC

Slutresultat: Roman Safiullin 0–3 Carlos Alcaraz

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Roman Safiullin (Hemma)

Prognos 19.80%5.05rättvist odds
EV +8.92%
Fördel +1.62%
Kelly +1.98%
Tillväxt +0.177%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.17%19.84%19.83%21.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.354.744.705.5022.99%21.12%21.28%18.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Carlos Alcaraz (Borta)

Prognos 80.20%1.25rättvist odds
EV -2.96%
Fördel -2.45%
Kelly -14.11%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.21

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
78.24%80.16%80.17%82.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.141.191.191.2187.72%84.35%84.03%82.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Roman Safiullin (Hemma): 19.80%; Carlos Alcaraz (Borta): 80.20%. För Roman Safiullin (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.05. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +8.92%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +8.92%E +1.62%K +1.98%G +0.177%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.58%E -7.52%K -61.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 17:25
1xBet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 17:19
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 17:25
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 17:19
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.97%E -6.01%K -43.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 17:20
GTbets🎯4.92I 20.33%NM 19.21%EV -2.57%E -0.521%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.79%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 17:20
ReBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 17:14
Winamax (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 17:20
SportsBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 15:45
Pinnacle🎯4.86I 20.58%NM 19.67%EV -3.75%E -0.772%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.33%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -3.95%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -3.95%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 17:00
FanDuel🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -3.95%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 15:45
MyBookie.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 17:20
Caesars🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 15:48
DraftKings🎯4.78I 20.92%NM 19.80%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.20%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 17:20
Bovada🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 17:26
betano_uk🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 17:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 17:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 17:25
Fliff🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 17:25
Unibet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:00
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:00
Casumo🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:00
Grosvenor🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:01
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:01
Virgin Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:01
Svenska Spel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:01
Bally Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:01
betPARX🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:01
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:01
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 17:25
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 17:25
NordicBet🎯4.69I 21.32%NM 20.10%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.90%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 17:20
Betsson🎯4.69I 21.32%NM 20.10%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.90%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 17:20
theScore Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -7.91%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 17:20
BetAnything🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -7.91%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 17:25
LeoVegas🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.91%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 17:25
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 17:26
PlayUp🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 17:25
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 17:25
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 17:25
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 17:25
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 17:20
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 17:25
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 17:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 17:20
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 17:25
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.86%E -2.92%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 17:19
Fanatics🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.85%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.96%E -2.45%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 17:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX◎5.45I 18.35%NM 18.29%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.71%0.3%2026-08-31 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-08-31 17:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-08-31 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-08-31 17:25
Matchbook◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-08-31 17:20
Kalshi◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%1.0%2026-08-31 06:25
Novig◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%1.0%2026-08-31 17:25
Smarkets◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94%2.6%2026-08-31 17:25