Язык:Русский
Roman Safiullin v Carlos Alcaraz
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Roman Safiullin (Хозяева)
Прогноз 19.80%5.05справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.92%
Преимущество +1.62%
Kelly +1.98%
Рост +0.177%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.17%19.84%19.83%21.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.354.744.705.5022.99%21.12%21.28%18.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Carlos Alcaraz (Гости)
Прогноз 80.20%1.25справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.96%
Преимущество -2.45%
Kelly -14.11%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.21
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
78.24%80.16%80.17%82.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.141.191.191.2187.72%84.35%84.03%82.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Roman Safiullin (Хозяева): 19.80%; Carlos Alcaraz (Гости): 80.20%. Для исхода «Roman Safiullin (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.05. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +8.92%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +8.92%E +1.62%K +1.98%G +0.177% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.58%E -7.52%K -61.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 17:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 17:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 19:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.97%E -6.01%K -43.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.21%EV -2.57%E -0.521%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.79%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 17:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.67%EV -3.75%E -0.772%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.33%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -3.95%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -3.95%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -3.95%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 15:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.80%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.20%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 17:26 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 17:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.10%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.90%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.10%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.90%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -7.91%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -7.91%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.91%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:26 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.86%E -2.92%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 17:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.85%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.96%E -2.45%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (8)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 5.45I 18.35%NM 18.29% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.71% | 0.3% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 06:25 |
| Novig◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |