Idioma:Português
Roman Safiullin v Carlos Alcaraz
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Roman Safiullin (Local)
Previsão 19.80%5.05odd justa
EV +8.92%
Vantagem +1.62%
Kelly +1.98%
Crescimento +0.177%
pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.17%19.84%19.83%21.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.354.744.705.5022.99%21.12%21.28%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Carlos Alcaraz (Visitante)
Previsão 80.20%1.25odd justa
EV -2.96%
Vantagem -2.45%
Kelly -14.11%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.21
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.24%80.16%80.17%82.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.141.191.191.2187.72%84.35%84.03%82.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Roman Safiullin (Local): 19.80%; Carlos Alcaraz (Visitante): 80.20%. Para Roman Safiullin (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.05. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.92%.
Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +8.92%E +1.62%K +1.98%G +0.177% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.58%E -7.52%K -61.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 17:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 17:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 19:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.97%E -6.01%K -43.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.21%EV -2.57%E -0.521%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.79%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 17:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.67%EV -3.75%E -0.772%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.33%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -3.95%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -3.95%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -3.95%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 15:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.80%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.20%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 17:26 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 17:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.10%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.90%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.10%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.90%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -7.91%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -7.91%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.91%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:26 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.86%E -2.92%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 17:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.85%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.96%E -2.45%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (8)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 5.45I 18.35%NM 18.29% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.71% | 0.3% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 06:25 |
| Novig◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |