Sprache:Deutsch
Roman Safiullin v Carlos Alcaraz
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Roman Safiullin (Heim)
Prognose 19.80%5.05faire Quote
EV +8.92%
Vorteil +1.62%
Kelly +1.98%
Wachstum +0.177%
bei einer Höchstquote von 5.50
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.17%19.84%19.83%21.76%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.354.744.705.5022.99%21.12%21.28%18.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Carlos Alcaraz (Auswärts)
Prognose 80.20%1.25faire Quote
EV -2.96%
Vorteil -2.45%
Kelly -14.11%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.21
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
78.24%80.16%80.17%82.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.141.191.191.2187.72%84.35%84.03%82.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Roman Safiullin (Heim): 19.80%; Carlos Alcaraz (Auswärts): 80.20%. Für Roman Safiullin (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.05. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +8.92%.
Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +8.92%E +1.62%K +1.98%G +0.177% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.58%E -7.52%K -61.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 17:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 17:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 19:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.97%E -6.01%K -43.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.21%EV -2.57%E -0.521%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.79%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 17:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.67%EV -3.75%E -0.772%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.33%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -3.95%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -3.95%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -3.95%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 15:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.80%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.20%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 17:26 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 17:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.10%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.90%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.10%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.90%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -7.91%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -7.91%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.91%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:26 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.86%E -2.92%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 17:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.85%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.96%E -2.45%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (8)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 5.45I 18.35%NM 18.29% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.71% | 0.3% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 06:25 |
| Novig◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |