Język:Polski
Roman Safiullin v Carlos Alcaraz
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Roman Safiullin (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 19.80%5.05kurs godziwy
EV +8.92%
Przewaga +1.62%
Kelly +1.98%
Wzrost +0.177%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.50
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
17.17%19.84%19.83%21.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.354.744.705.5022.99%21.12%21.28%18.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Carlos Alcaraz (Goście)
Prognoza 80.20%1.25kurs godziwy
EV -2.96%
Przewaga -2.45%
Kelly -14.11%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.21
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
78.24%80.16%80.17%82.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.141.191.191.2187.72%84.35%84.03%82.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Roman Safiullin (Gospodarze): 19.80%; Carlos Alcaraz (Goście): 80.20%. Dla wyniku Roman Safiullin (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.05. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +8.92%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +8.92%E +1.62%K +1.98%G +0.177% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.58%E -7.52%K -61.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 17:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 17:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 19:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.981%E -0.196%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.97%E -6.01%K -43.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.21%EV -2.57%E -0.521%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.79%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 17:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.67%EV -3.75%E -0.772%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.33%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -3.95%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -3.95%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -3.95%E -0.815%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 15:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.80%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.20%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 17:26 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 17:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.92%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.10%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.90%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.10%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.90%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -7.91%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -7.91%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.91%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:26 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.88%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.86%E -2.92%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 17:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.85%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.96%E -2.45%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 5.45I 18.35%NM 18.29% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.71% | 0.3% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 06:25 |
| Novig◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |