Language:English
Otto Virtanen v Andrey Rublev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Otto Virtanen (Local)
Prediction 18.36%5.45fair odd
EV +6.84%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.097%
assuming max odds 5.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.54%18.25%18.38%20.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.215.255.8222.22%19.19%19.05%17.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Andrey Rublev (Visit)
Prediction 81.64%1.22fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -3.10%
Kelly -20.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.65%81.75%81.62%83.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.161.161.1888.50%86.27%86.21%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Otto Virtanen (Local): 18.36%; Andrey Rublev (Visit): 81.64%. For Otto Virtanen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.45. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.74%EV +6.84%E +1.18%K +1.42%G +0.097% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.26%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-31 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +4.64%E +0.814%K +0.987%G +0.046% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +4.64%E +0.814%K +0.987%G +0.046% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.74%E -6.85%K -59.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 09:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.16%EV +3.72%E +0.659%K +0.800%G +0.030% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.84%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.16%EV +3.72%E +0.659%K +0.800%G +0.030% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.84%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 14:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +2.80%E +0.501%K +0.609%G +0.017% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 13:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 13:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 13:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.74%E -6.85%K -59.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -0.868%E -0.161%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -3.66%E -3.10%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -0.868%E -0.161%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -1.97%E -0.369%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.03%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 06:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 21:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.54%E -0.873%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -4.54%E -0.873%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.74%E -6.85%K -59.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -5.46%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.38%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -7.29%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.66%E -3.10%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.03%EV -7.84%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.97%EV -3.66%E -3.10%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:06 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 04:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 06:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 06:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 07:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 09:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 09:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 15:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.95%EV -8.95%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.05%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.95%EV -8.95%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.05%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.97%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -13.72%E -2.92%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -17.39%E -3.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 15:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 2.1% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35% | 2.2% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |