Idioma:Español
Otto Virtanen v Andrey Rublev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Otto Virtanen (Local)
Predicción 18.36%5.45momio equitativo
EV +6.84%
Ventaja +1.18%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +0.097%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.54%18.25%18.38%20.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.215.255.8222.22%19.19%19.05%17.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Andrey Rublev (Visitante)
Predicción 81.64%1.22momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -3.10%
Kelly -20.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.65%81.75%81.62%83.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.131.161.161.1888.50%86.27%86.21%84.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Otto Virtanen (Local): 18.36%; Andrey Rublev (Visitante): 81.64%. Para Otto Virtanen (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.45. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.82, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.84%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.74%EV +6.84%E +1.18%K +1.42%G +0.097% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.26%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-31 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +4.64%E +0.814%K +0.987%G +0.046% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +4.64%E +0.814%K +0.987%G +0.046% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.74%E -6.85%K -59.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 09:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.16%EV +3.72%E +0.659%K +0.800%G +0.030% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.84%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.16%EV +3.72%E +0.659%K +0.800%G +0.030% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.84%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 14:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +2.80%E +0.501%K +0.609%G +0.017% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 13:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 13:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 13:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.74%E -6.85%K -59.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -0.868%E -0.161%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -3.66%E -3.10%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -0.868%E -0.161%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 13:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -1.97%E -0.369%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.03%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 06:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 21:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 13:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.54%E -0.873%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -4.54%E -0.873%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.74%E -6.85%K -59.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -5.46%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.38%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -7.29%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.66%E -3.10%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.03%EV -7.84%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.97%EV -3.66%E -3.10%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:06 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 04:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 06:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 06:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 07:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 09:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 09:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 15:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.95%EV -8.95%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.05%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.95%EV -8.95%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.05%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.97%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -13.72%E -2.92%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -17.39%E -3.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-31 15:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 0.2% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 2.1% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35% | 2.2% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |