Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Otto Virtanen v Andrey Rublev

Início: 2026-08-31 15:06 UTC

Final: Otto Virtanen 2–3 Andrey Rublev

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Otto Virtanen (Local)

Previsão 18.36%5.45odd justa
EV +6.84%
Vantagem +1.18%
Kelly +1.42%
Crescimento +0.097%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.54%18.25%18.38%20.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.505.215.255.8222.22%19.19%19.05%17.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Andrey Rublev (Visitante)

Previsão 81.64%1.22odd justa
EV -3.66%
Vantagem -3.10%
Kelly -20.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
79.65%81.75%81.62%83.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.131.161.161.1888.50%86.27%86.21%84.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Otto Virtanen (Local): 18.36%; Andrey Rublev (Visitante): 81.64%. Para Otto Virtanen (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.45. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.82, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.84%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯5.82I 17.18%NM 16.74%EV +6.84%E +1.18%K +1.42%G +0.097%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.26%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-31 14:40
Coolbet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +4.64%E +0.814%K +0.987%G +0.046%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +4.64%E +0.814%K +0.987%G +0.046%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.74%E -6.85%K -59.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 09:15
LowVig.ag🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.16%EV +3.72%E +0.659%K +0.800%G +0.030%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.84%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.16%EV +3.72%E +0.659%K +0.800%G +0.030%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.84%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 14:25
ReBet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +2.80%E +0.501%K +0.609%G +0.017%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 13:45
betano_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 14:00
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 13:25
Bovada🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 13:45
NetBet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.74%E -6.85%K -59.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -0.868%E -0.161%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -3.66%E -3.10%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 15:00
MyBookie.ag🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -0.868%E -0.161%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 13:49
GTbets🎯5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -1.97%E -0.369%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.03%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 09:10
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 06:35
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 21:38
LiveScore Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
Grosvenor🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
Casumo🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
BetRivers🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
Unibet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
betPARX🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
Bally Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
TABtouch🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
PlayUp🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 13:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.54%E -0.873%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -4.54%E -0.873%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.74%E -6.85%K -59.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 10:05
Marathon Bet🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -5.46%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:04
BetAnything🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.38%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:40
1xBet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -7.29%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.66%E -3.10%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 14:59
DraftKings🎯5.02I 19.92%NM 19.03%EV -7.84%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.97%EV -3.66%E -3.10%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 08:55
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 15:00
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 14:50
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 08:55
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 15:06
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 04:25
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 06:35
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 06:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 07:05
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 08:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 09:00
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 09:00
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 14:40
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 15:05
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 15:05
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 15:01
Betsson🎯4.96I 20.16%NM 18.95%EV -8.95%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.05%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 15:00
NordicBet🎯4.96I 20.16%NM 18.95%EV -8.95%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.05%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 15:00
theScore Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.97%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 15:00
LeoVegas🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -13.72%E -2.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -17.39%E -3.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 15:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%0.2%2026-08-31 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%0.2%2026-08-31 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%0.2%2026-08-31 15:05
Matchbook◎6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%0.2%2026-08-31 15:05
Kalshi◎6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%0.7%2026-08-31 15:05
ProphetX◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-08-31 15:05
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%2.1%2026-08-31 15:05
Novig◎6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%2.2%2026-08-31 15:05