Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Otto Virtanen v Andrey Rublev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-31 15:06 UTC

Score final : Otto Virtanen 2–3 Andrey Rublev

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Otto Virtanen (Local)

Prévision 18.36%5.45cote équitable
EV +6.84%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +0.097%

avec la cote maximale 5.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.54%18.25%18.38%20.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.215.255.8222.22%19.19%19.05%17.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Andrey Rublev (Visiteur)

Prévision 81.64%1.22cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -3.10%
Kelly -20.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.65%81.75%81.62%83.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.131.161.161.1888.50%86.27%86.21%84.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Otto Virtanen (Local) : 18.36% ; Andrey Rublev (Visiteur) : 81.64%. Pour Otto Virtanen (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.45. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.82, soit une espérance positive de +6.84%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯5.82I 17.18%NM 16.74%EV +6.84%E +1.18%K +1.42%G +0.097%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.26%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-31 14:40
Coolbet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +4.64%E +0.814%K +0.987%G +0.046%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +4.64%E +0.814%K +0.987%G +0.046%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.74%E -6.85%K -59.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 09:15
LowVig.ag🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.16%EV +3.72%E +0.659%K +0.800%G +0.030%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.84%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.16%EV +3.72%E +0.659%K +0.800%G +0.030%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.84%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 14:25
ReBet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +2.80%E +0.501%K +0.609%G +0.017%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 13:45
betano_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 14:00
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 13:25
Bovada🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 13:45
NetBet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +0.967%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.74%E -6.85%K -59.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -0.868%E -0.161%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -3.66%E -3.10%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 15:00
MyBookie.ag🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -0.868%E -0.161%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 13:49
GTbets🎯5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -1.97%E -0.369%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.03%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 09:10
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 06:35
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 21:38
LiveScore Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
Grosvenor🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
Casumo🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
BetRivers🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
Unibet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
betPARX🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
Bally Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
TABtouch🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -2.70%E -0.510%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:05
PlayUp🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 13:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.54%E -0.873%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -4.54%E -0.873%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.74%E -6.85%K -59.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 10:05
Marathon Bet🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.38%EV -5.46%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.62%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:04
BetAnything🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.38%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:40
1xBet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -7.29%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.66%E -3.10%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 14:59
DraftKings🎯5.02I 19.92%NM 19.03%EV -7.84%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.97%EV -3.66%E -3.10%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 08:55
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 15:00
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 14:50
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 08:55
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 15:06
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 04:25
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 06:35
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 06:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 07:05
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 08:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 09:00
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 09:00
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 14:40
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 15:05
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 15:05
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.93%E -6.08%K -49.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 15:01
Betsson🎯4.96I 20.16%NM 18.95%EV -8.95%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.05%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 15:00
NordicBet🎯4.96I 20.16%NM 18.95%EV -8.95%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.05%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 15:00
theScore Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.97%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.48%E -3.83%K -26.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 15:00
LeoVegas🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -13.72%E -2.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -5.29%E -4.56%K -33.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -17.39%E -3.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.11%E -5.31%K -40.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 15:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%0.2%2026-08-31 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%0.2%2026-08-31 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%0.2%2026-08-31 15:05
Matchbook◎6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%0.2%2026-08-31 15:05
Kalshi◎6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%0.7%2026-08-31 15:05
ProphetX◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-08-31 15:05
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%2.1%2026-08-31 15:05
Novig◎6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%2.2%2026-08-31 15:05