預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Matteo Berrettini v Stan Wawrinka

開賽時間: 2026-08-31 19:45 UTC

最終賽果: Matteo Berrettini 3–0 Stan Wawrinka

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

63 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Matteo Berrettini (主隊)

預測 76.71%1.30公平賠率
EV -2.57%
優勢 -2.03%
Kelly -9.54%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.27

博彩公司預測分布
75.49%76.84%76.63%78.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.201.241.241.2783.33%80.80%80.65%78.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Stan Wawrinka (客隊)

預測 23.29%4.29公平賠率
EV +4.79%
優勢 +1.06%
Kelly +1.37%
成長率 +0.066%

假設最高賠率為 4.50

博彩公司預測分布
21.33%23.16%23.37%24.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.804.084.004.5026.32%24.53%25.00%22.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Matteo Berrettini (主隊):76.71%;Stan Wawrinka (客隊):23.29%。 對於「Stan Wawrinka (客隊)」,該估計相當於4.29的公平十進位賠率。 當時有13家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.50,對應+4.79%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (63 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +4.79%E +1.06%K +1.37%G +0.066%4.2%2026-08-31 19:43
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.97%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 22.03%EV +3.86%E +0.866%K +1.12%G +0.043%1.8%2026-08-31 19:30
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.18%E -5.93%K -34.18%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +3.63%E +0.815%K +1.05%G +0.038%5.1%2026-08-31 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +2.46%E +0.560%K +0.724%G +0.018%3.4%2026-08-31 10:45
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +2.46%E +0.560%K +0.724%G +0.018%4.7%2026-08-31 13:30
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.1%2026-08-31 19:24
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002%5.1%2026-08-31 12:30
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002%5.1%2026-08-29 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.94%E -6.62%K -39.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002%6.4%2026-08-31 12:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 09:30
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 10:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 19:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.03%E -0.242%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.03%E -0.242%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 19:25
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 18:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:05
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 03:30
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.44%EV -2.57%E -2.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.56%EV -4.06%E -0.985%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 15:55
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 19:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 10:50
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.75%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.25%EV -5.45%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.52%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.48%EV -5.92%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 03:35
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 15:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 16:10
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 10:45
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 10:50
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 15:15
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 19:43
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 19:43
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 19:43
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 08:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 19:05
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 11:44
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 19:35
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 10:50
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 10:50
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 10:50
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -9.41%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 19:40
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -9.41%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 16:10
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
ProphetX◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-08-31 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-08-31 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-08-31 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-08-31 19:25
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-08-31 19:25
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-08-31 19:25
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.1%2026-08-31 19:35
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97%2.2%2026-08-31 19:40