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Matteo Berrettini v Stan Wawrinka
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Matteo Berrettini (Хозяева)
Прогноз 76.71%1.30справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.57%
Преимущество -2.03%
Kelly -9.54%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.27
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
75.49%76.84%76.63%78.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.201.241.241.2783.33%80.80%80.65%78.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Stan Wawrinka (Гости)
Прогноз 23.29%4.29справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.79%
Преимущество +1.06%
Kelly +1.37%
Рост +0.066%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.33%23.16%23.37%24.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.804.084.004.5026.32%24.53%25.00%22.22%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Matteo Berrettini (Хозяева): 76.71%; Stan Wawrinka (Гости): 23.29%. Для исхода «Stan Wawrinka (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.29. 13 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.79%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +4.79%E +1.06%K +1.37%G +0.066% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 19:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.97%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 22.03%EV +3.86%E +0.866%K +1.12%G +0.043% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.18%E -5.93%K -34.18%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +3.63%E +0.815%K +1.05%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +2.46%E +0.560%K +0.724%G +0.018% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 10:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +2.46%E +0.560%K +0.724%G +0.018% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 19:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.94%E -6.62%K -39.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 09:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 10:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 19:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.03%E -0.242%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.03%E -0.242%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 18:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 03:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.44%EV -2.57%E -2.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.56%EV -4.06%E -0.985%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 19:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.75%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.25%EV -5.45%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.52%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.48%EV -5.92%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 03:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 10:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 19:43 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 19:43 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 19:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 08:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 11:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -9.41%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -9.41%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (8)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 2.1% | 2026-08-31 19:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97% | 2.2% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |