StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Matteo Berrettini v Stan Wawrinka

Matchstart: 2026-08-31 19:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Matteo Berrettini 3–0 Stan Wawrinka

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Matteo Berrettini (Hemma)

Prognos 76.71%1.30rättvist odds
EV -2.57%
Fördel -2.03%
Kelly -9.54%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.27

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
75.49%76.84%76.63%78.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.201.241.241.2783.33%80.80%80.65%78.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Stan Wawrinka (Borta)

Prognos 23.29%4.29rättvist odds
EV +4.79%
Fördel +1.06%
Kelly +1.37%
Tillväxt +0.066%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.33%23.16%23.37%24.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.804.084.004.5026.32%24.53%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Matteo Berrettini (Hemma): 76.71%; Stan Wawrinka (Borta): 23.29%. För Stan Wawrinka (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.29. 13 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.79%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +4.79%E +1.06%K +1.37%G +0.066%4.2%2026-08-31 19:43
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.97%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 22.03%EV +3.86%E +0.866%K +1.12%G +0.043%1.8%2026-08-31 19:30
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.18%E -5.93%K -34.18%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +3.63%E +0.815%K +1.05%G +0.038%5.1%2026-08-31 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +2.46%E +0.560%K +0.724%G +0.018%3.4%2026-08-31 10:45
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +2.46%E +0.560%K +0.724%G +0.018%4.7%2026-08-31 13:30
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002%3.1%2026-08-31 19:24
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002%5.1%2026-08-31 12:30
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002%5.1%2026-08-29 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.94%E -6.62%K -39.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002%6.4%2026-08-31 12:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 09:30
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 10:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 19:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.03%E -0.242%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.03%E -0.242%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 19:25
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 18:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:05
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 03:30
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.44%EV -2.57%E -2.03%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.56%EV -4.06%E -0.985%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 15:55
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 19:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 10:50
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.75%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.25%EV -5.45%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.52%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.48%EV -5.92%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 03:35
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 15:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 16:10
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 10:45
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 10:50
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 15:15
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 19:43
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 19:43
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 19:43
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 08:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 19:05
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 11:44
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 19:35
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 10:50
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 10:50
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 10:50
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -9.41%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 19:40
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -9.41%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 16:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-08-31 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-08-31 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-08-31 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-08-31 19:25
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-08-31 19:25
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-08-31 19:25
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.1%2026-08-31 19:35
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97%2.2%2026-08-31 19:40