Lingua:Italiano
Matteo Berrettini v Stan Wawrinka
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Matteo Berrettini (Casa)
Previsione 76.71%1.30quota equa
EV -2.57%
Vantaggio -2.03%
Kelly -9.54%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.27
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.49%76.84%76.63%78.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.241.241.2783.33%80.80%80.65%78.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Stan Wawrinka (Trasferta)
Previsione 23.29%4.29quota equa
EV +4.79%
Vantaggio +1.06%
Kelly +1.37%
Crescita +0.066%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.33%23.16%23.37%24.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.084.004.5026.32%24.53%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Matteo Berrettini (Casa): 76.71%; Stan Wawrinka (Trasferta): 23.29%. Per Stan Wawrinka (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.29. 13 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.79%.
Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +4.79%E +1.06%K +1.37%G +0.066% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 19:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.97%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 22.03%EV +3.86%E +0.866%K +1.12%G +0.043% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.18%E -5.93%K -34.18%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +3.63%E +0.815%K +1.05%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +2.46%E +0.560%K +0.724%G +0.018% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 10:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +2.46%E +0.560%K +0.724%G +0.018% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 19:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.94%E -6.62%K -39.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 09:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 10:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 19:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.03%E -0.242%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.03%E -0.242%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 18:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 03:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.44%EV -2.57%E -2.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.56%EV -4.06%E -0.985%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 19:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.75%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.25%EV -5.45%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.52%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.48%EV -5.92%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 03:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 10:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 19:43 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 19:43 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 19:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 08:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 11:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -9.41%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -9.41%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 2.1% | 2026-08-31 19:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97% | 2.2% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |