Język:Polski
Matteo Berrettini v Stan Wawrinka
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Matteo Berrettini (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 76.71%1.30kurs godziwy
EV -2.57%
Przewaga -2.03%
Kelly -9.54%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.27
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
75.49%76.84%76.63%78.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.201.241.241.2783.33%80.80%80.65%78.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Stan Wawrinka (Goście)
Prognoza 23.29%4.29kurs godziwy
EV +4.79%
Przewaga +1.06%
Kelly +1.37%
Wzrost +0.066%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.50
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.33%23.16%23.37%24.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.804.084.004.5026.32%24.53%25.00%22.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Matteo Berrettini (Gospodarze): 76.71%; Stan Wawrinka (Goście): 23.29%. Dla wyniku Stan Wawrinka (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.29. 13 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +4.79%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +4.79%E +1.06%K +1.37%G +0.066% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 19:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.97%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 22.03%EV +3.86%E +0.866%K +1.12%G +0.043% | 1.8% | 2026-08-31 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.18%E -5.93%K -34.18%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +3.63%E +0.815%K +1.05%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +2.46%E +0.560%K +0.724%G +0.018% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 10:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +2.46%E +0.560%K +0.724%G +0.018% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 13:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 19:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.94%E -6.62%K -39.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +0.833%E +0.192%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 09:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 10:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.134%E +0.031%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 19:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.03%E -0.242%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.03%E -0.242%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-31 18:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 03:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.44%EV -2.57%E -2.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.56%EV -4.06%E -0.985%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 19:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.75%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.25%EV -5.45%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.52%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.48%EV -5.92%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 03:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 10:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.64%E -4.59%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 19:43 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 19:43 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 19:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 08:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 11:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.02%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -9.41%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -9.41%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.41%E -5.25%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 2.1% | 2026-08-31 19:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97% | 2.2% | 2026-08-31 19:40 |