Language:English
Martin Landaluce v Jacob Fearnley
Head to Head
Martin Landaluce (Local)
Prediction 48.60%2.06fair odd
EV -0.864%
Edge -0.424%
Kelly -0.831%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.32%48.40%48.60%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.941.952.0454.35%51.62%51.28%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jacob Fearnley (Visit)
Prediction 51.40%1.95fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.642%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.60%51.40%53.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.831.831.9757.47%54.75%54.64%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Martin Landaluce (Local): 48.60%; Jacob Fearnley (Visit): 51.40%. For Jacob Fearnley (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.97, producing a positive expected value of +1.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%EV +1.27%E +0.642%K +1.30%G +0.017% | 1.5% | 2026-08-28 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.33%E -1.23%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.33%E -1.23%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 22:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.75%E -2.42%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 00:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.90%E -2.65%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.75%E -2.42%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.42%E -2.94%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.72%E -2.95%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.72%E -2.95%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.72%E -2.95%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.18%E -3.76%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.93%E -3.24%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 22:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -6.70%E -3.49%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -6.96%E -3.84%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.81%E -1.40%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.47%E -4.15%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 01:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.18%E -3.76%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.47%E -4.15%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 00:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -4.27%E -2.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -8.50%E -4.78%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -9.13%E -4.88%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.02%E -5.09%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -9.13%E -4.88%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.02%E -5.09%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -9.13%E -4.88%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.02%E -5.09%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -0.864%E -0.424%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -9.53%E -5.41%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 22:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.60%EV -10.58%E -5.75%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.40%EV -10.56%E -6.07%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-08-29 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.89% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.74% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.26% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 00:25 |
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.22%DraftKings 2.04 (49.1%) / 1xBet 1.97 (50.9%)Show details
| Martin Landaluce (Local) | Jacob Fearnley (Visit) | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 2.04 (49.1%) | 1xBet🎯 1.97 (50.9%) | +0.219% |