StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Martin Landaluce v Jacob Fearnley

Matchstart: 2026-08-30 23:18 UTC

Slutresultat: Martin Landaluce 2–3 Jacob Fearnley

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Martin Landaluce (Hemma)

Prognos 52.26%1.91rättvist odds
EV +6.62%
Fördel +3.24%
Kelly +6.36%
Tillväxt +0.421%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.28%52.23%52.17%54.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.731.811.802.0457.80%55.10%55.56%49.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jacob Fearnley (Borta)

Prognos 47.74%2.09rättvist odds
EV +0.247%
Fördel +0.118%
Kelly +0.224%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.74%47.77%47.83%51.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.832.002.002.1054.64%50.05%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Martin Landaluce (Hemma): 52.26%; Jacob Fearnley (Borta): 47.74%. För Martin Landaluce (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.91. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.04, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +6.62%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%EV +6.62%E +3.24%K +6.36%G +0.421%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%EV -8.82%E -4.62%K -9.70%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-29 06:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV +2.44%E +1.24%K +2.54%G +0.062%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -12.64%E -6.91%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 06:15
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.57%E -1.77%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 22:54
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.73%E -5.74%K -12.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 22:45
GTbets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.79%E -1.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-30 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.79%E -1.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 02:24
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 23:05
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.05%E -2.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 22:00
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 07:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 07:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 07:15
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 07:15
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.84%E -2.08%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 02:25
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.05%E -2.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 22:19
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 22:49
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 22:20
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 22:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.00%E -2.51%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.00%E -2.51%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 21:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.00%E -2.51%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 19:45
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.88%E -2.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.88%E -2.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.88%E -2.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 21:55
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 19:45
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 11:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 23:00
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 19:45
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:20
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 22:20
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.44%E -3.28%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 22:00
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.44%E -3.28%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 22:25
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 22:25
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -6.45%E -3.60%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -0.708%E -0.340%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 23:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:50
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:50
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:50
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:50
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:50
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -5.96%E -3.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.247%E +0.118%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.1%2026-08-30 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.247%E +0.118%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.1%2026-08-30 22:30
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -3.09%E -1.52%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 21:10
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.57%E -1.77%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 23:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 18:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-08-30 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-08-30 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-08-30 23:10
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-08-30 23:10
Matchbook◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-30 23:10
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-08-30 23:05
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-08-30 23:00
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-08-30 22:25