Langue:Français
Martin Landaluce v Jacob Fearnley
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Martin Landaluce (Local)
Prévision 52.26%1.91cote équitable
EV +6.62%
Avantage +3.24%
Kelly +6.36%
Croissance +0.421%
avec la cote maximale 2.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.28%52.23%52.17%54.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.731.811.802.0457.80%55.10%55.56%49.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jacob Fearnley (Visiteur)
Prévision 47.74%2.09cote équitable
EV +0.247%
Avantage +0.118%
Kelly +0.224%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.74%47.77%47.83%51.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.832.002.002.1054.64%50.05%50.00%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Martin Landaluce (Local) : 52.26% ; Jacob Fearnley (Visiteur) : 47.74%. Pour Martin Landaluce (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.91. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.04, soit une espérance positive de +6.62%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%EV +6.62%E +3.24%K +6.36%G +0.421% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%EV -8.82%E -4.62%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 06:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV +2.44%E +1.24%K +2.54%G +0.062% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -12.64%E -6.91%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.57%E -1.77%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 22:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.73%E -5.74%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 22:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.79%E -1.50%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -2.79%E -1.50%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 02:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.05%E -2.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 07:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 07:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 07:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 07:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.84%E -2.08%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 02:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.05%E -2.01%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 22:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 22:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 22:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 22:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.00%E -2.51%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.00%E -2.51%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.00%E -2.51%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.88%E -2.68%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.88%E -2.68%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.88%E -2.68%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 19:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 19:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.44%E -3.28%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.44%E -3.28%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -6.45%E -3.60%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -0.708%E -0.340%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 23:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.62%E -1.28%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.97%E -3.92%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -5.96%E -3.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.247%E +0.118%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.247%E +0.118%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -3.09%E -1.52%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 21:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.57%E -1.77%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 23:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |