Language:English
Luca Van Assche v Cameron Norrie
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Luca Van Assche (Local)
Prediction 33.84%2.95fair odd
EV +1.53%
Edge +0.511%
Kelly +0.767%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.11%33.87%33.87%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.822.853.0038.17%35.49%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cameron Norrie (Visit)
Prediction 66.16%1.51fair odd
EV -0.767%
Edge -0.511%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.29%66.13%66.13%67.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.421.5072.46%70.03%70.42%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Luca Van Assche (Local): 33.84%; Cameron Norrie (Visit): 66.16%. For Luca Van Assche (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +1.53%E +0.511%K +0.767%G +0.012% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +1.53%E +0.511%K +0.767%G +0.012% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.858%E +0.288%K +0.433%G +0.004% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 16:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV +0.181%E +0.061%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 17:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 16:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.87%E -0.998%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.75%E -1.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.41%E -2.34%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 12:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -3.88%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 12:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 12:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 10:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.71%E -6.31%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.25%E -2.26%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.41%E -2.34%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -6.25%E -2.26%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 16:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 12:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 07:01 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 07:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 07:11 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 12:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -0.767%E -0.511%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:47 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 17:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.33%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 17:52 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.33%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 17:52 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.33%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 17:52 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 17:51 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |