Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Luca Van Assche v Cameron Norrie

Início: 2026-08-30 17:55 UTC

Final: Luca Van Assche 3–1 Cameron Norrie

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Luca Van Assche (Local)

Previsão 33.84%2.95odd justa
EV +1.53%
Vantagem +0.511%
Kelly +0.767%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.11%33.87%33.87%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.622.822.853.0038.17%35.49%35.09%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cameron Norrie (Visitante)

Previsão 66.16%1.51odd justa
EV -0.767%
Vantagem -0.511%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.29%66.13%66.13%67.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.431.421.5072.46%70.03%70.42%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Luca Van Assche (Local): 33.84%; Cameron Norrie (Visitante): 66.16%. Para Luca Van Assche (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.95. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.53%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +1.53%E +0.511%K +0.767%G +0.012%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 17:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +1.53%E +0.511%K +0.767%G +0.012%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 17:30
FanDuel🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.858%E +0.288%K +0.433%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 16:54
SportsBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV +0.181%E +0.061%K +0.092%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 17:45
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 16:50
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:50
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 16:59
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:00
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.87%E -0.998%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.75%E -1.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-30 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.41%E -2.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 12:14
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 16:20
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 17:50
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -3.88%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.71%E -6.31%K -22.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 16:50
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.25%E -2.26%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.41%E -2.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -6.25%E -2.26%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 16:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:49
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:45
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 12:14
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 07:01
TAB🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 16:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 07:00
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 07:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:15
GTbets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 16:45
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 15:40
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 15:40
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -0.767%E -0.511%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 08:30
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:47
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:50
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 14:26
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 17:49
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.33%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 17:52
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.33%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 17:52
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.33%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 17:52
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Novig◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18%0.6%2026-08-30 17:40
ProphetX◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%1.1%2026-08-30 17:51
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-08-30 17:50
Smarkets◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.3%2026-08-30 17:50