StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Luca Van Assche v Cameron Norrie

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-30 17:55 UTC

Endstand: Luca Van Assche 3–1 Cameron Norrie

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Luca Van Assche (Heim)

Prognose 33.84%2.95faire Quote
EV +1.53%
Vorteil +0.511%
Kelly +0.767%
Wachstum +0.012%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.11%33.87%33.87%35.71%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.622.822.853.0038.17%35.49%35.09%33.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Cameron Norrie (Auswärts)

Prognose 66.16%1.51faire Quote
EV -0.767%
Vorteil -0.511%
Kelly -1.53%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
64.29%66.13%66.13%67.89%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.381.431.421.5072.46%70.03%70.42%66.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Luca Van Assche (Heim): 33.84%; Cameron Norrie (Auswärts): 66.16%. Für Luca Van Assche (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.95. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.53%.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +1.53%E +0.511%K +0.767%G +0.012%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 17:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +1.53%E +0.511%K +0.767%G +0.012%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 17:30
FanDuel🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.858%E +0.288%K +0.433%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 16:54
SportsBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV +0.181%E +0.061%K +0.092%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 17:45
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 16:50
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:50
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 16:59
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:00
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.87%E -0.998%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.75%E -1.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-30 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.41%E -2.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 12:14
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 16:20
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 17:50
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -3.88%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.71%E -6.31%K -22.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 16:50
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.25%E -2.26%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.41%E -2.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -6.25%E -2.26%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 16:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:49
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:45
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 12:14
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 07:01
TAB🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 16:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 07:00
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 07:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:15
GTbets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 16:45
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 15:40
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 15:40
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -0.767%E -0.511%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 08:30
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:47
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:50
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 14:26
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 17:49
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.33%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 17:52
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.33%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 17:52
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.33%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 17:52
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Novig◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18%0.6%2026-08-30 17:40
ProphetX◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%1.1%2026-08-30 17:51
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-08-30 17:50
Smarkets◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.3%2026-08-30 17:50