Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Luca Van Assche v Cameron Norrie

Inizio: 2026-08-30 17:55 UTC

Finale: Luca Van Assche 3–1 Cameron Norrie

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Luca Van Assche (Casa)

Previsione 33.84%2.95quota equa
EV +1.53%
Vantaggio +0.511%
Kelly +0.767%
Crescita +0.012%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.11%33.87%33.87%35.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.822.853.0038.17%35.49%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cameron Norrie (Trasferta)

Previsione 66.16%1.51quota equa
EV -0.767%
Vantaggio -0.511%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.29%66.13%66.13%67.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.431.421.5072.46%70.03%70.42%66.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Luca Van Assche (Casa): 33.84%; Cameron Norrie (Trasferta): 66.16%. Per Luca Van Assche (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.95. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.53%.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +1.53%E +0.511%K +0.767%G +0.012%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 17:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +1.53%E +0.511%K +0.767%G +0.012%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 17:30
FanDuel🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.858%E +0.288%K +0.433%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 16:54
SportsBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV +0.181%E +0.061%K +0.092%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 17:45
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 17:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 16:50
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.85%E -0.638%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:50
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 16:59
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:00
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.53%E -0.877%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.87%E -0.998%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.75%E -1.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-30 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.41%E -2.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 12:14
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 16:20
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 17:50
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.54%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -3.88%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.71%E -6.31%K -22.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 16:50
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.25%E -2.26%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.41%E -2.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -6.25%E -2.26%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -6.72%E -4.77%K -16.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 16:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:49
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:45
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 12:14
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 07:01
TAB🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 16:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 07:00
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 07:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:15
GTbets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.40%E -3.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 16:45
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.06%E -4.27%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 15:40
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 15:40
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -0.767%E -0.511%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 08:30
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:47
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 17:50
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.07%E -2.81%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 14:26
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.38%E -5.27%K -18.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 17:49
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.33%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 17:52
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.33%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 17:52
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.33%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.74%E -3.29%K -10.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 17:52
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-30 17:50
Novig◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18%0.6%2026-08-30 17:40
ProphetX◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%1.1%2026-08-30 17:51
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-08-30 17:50
Smarkets◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.3%2026-08-30 17:50