Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lloyd Harris v Jack Kennedy

2026-08-30 16:40 UTC — ATP US Open

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lloyd Harris (Local)

Prediction 82.65%1.21fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -2.82%
Kelly -19.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.04%82.63%82.76%85.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.60%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jack Kennedy (Visit)

Prediction 17.35%5.76fair odd
EV +17.31%
Edge +2.56%
Kelly +3.01%
Growth +0.520%

assuming max odds 6.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.54%17.37%17.24%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.595.506.7620.83%17.89%18.18%14.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lloyd Harris (Local): 82.65%; Jack Kennedy (Visit): 17.35%. For Jack Kennedy (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.76. 21 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.76, producing a positive expected value of +17.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 85.46%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%6.76I 14.79%NM 14.54%EV +17.31%E +2.56%K +3.01%G +0.520%1.7%2026-08-29 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%3.6%2026-08-29 12:09
betano_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%3.6%2026-08-29 12:19
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%4.4%2026-08-29 09:05
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.650%E +0.112%K +0.135%G +0.001%4.2%2026-08-29 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -9.09%E -8.26%K -90.89%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV +0.650%E +0.112%K +0.135%G +0.001%8.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.02%EV -4.13%E -3.56%K -25.81%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.98%EV -1.61%E -0.283%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 09:35
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.84%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.16%EV -1.95%E -0.346%K -0.420%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 09:11
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 09:10
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 12:20
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 09:10
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 09:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 09:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 12:15
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 12:09
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -5.42%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 12:10
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -5.42%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 12:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.44%E -6.64%K -61.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -6.29%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 12:20
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.89%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 10:10
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.89%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:50
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.89%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.89%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.89%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.89%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.13%E -3.56%K -25.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.76%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 10:11
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.13%E -3.56%K -25.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.76%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 10:10
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.70%EV -4.13%E -3.56%K -25.81%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.30%EV -10.11%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 09:05
SportsBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -11.50%E -2.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 07:45
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.50%E -2.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 12:10
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.23%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 09:10
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.23%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 08:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.23%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 09:11
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.23%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 09:10
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.23%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 10:59
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -7.44%E -6.64%K -61.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -16.70%E -3.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 12:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-08-29 12:30
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-08-29 11:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.33%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.67%1.7%2026-08-29 11:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.33%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.67%1.7%2026-08-29 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.33%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.67%1.7%2026-08-29 11:41
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%2.0%2026-08-29 11:45
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 83.40%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.60%2.5%2026-08-29 13:05
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%3.2%2026-08-29 12:01