Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Lloyd Harris v Jack Kennedy

2026-08-30 16:40 UTC — ATP US Open

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Lloyd Harris (Local)

Predicción 82.65%1.21momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -2.82%
Kelly -19.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.04%82.63%82.76%85.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.60%87.72%85.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jack Kennedy (Visitante)

Predicción 17.35%5.76momio equitativo
EV +17.31%
Ventaja +2.56%
Kelly +3.01%
Crecimiento +0.520%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.54%17.37%17.24%18.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.805.595.506.7620.83%17.89%18.18%14.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Lloyd Harris (Local): 82.65%; Jack Kennedy (Visitante): 17.35%. Para Jack Kennedy (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.76. 21 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.76, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +17.31%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 85.46%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%6.76I 14.79%NM 14.54%EV +17.31%E +2.56%K +3.01%G +0.520%1.7%2026-08-29 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%3.6%2026-08-29 12:09
betano_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%3.6%2026-08-29 12:19
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%4.4%2026-08-29 09:05
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.650%E +0.112%K +0.135%G +0.001%4.2%2026-08-29 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -9.09%E -8.26%K -90.89%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV +0.650%E +0.112%K +0.135%G +0.001%8.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.02%EV -4.13%E -3.56%K -25.81%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.98%EV -1.61%E -0.283%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 09:35
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.84%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.16%EV -1.95%E -0.346%K -0.420%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 09:11
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 09:10
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 12:20
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 09:10
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 09:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 09:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 12:15
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 12:09
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -5.42%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 12:10
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -5.42%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 12:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.44%E -6.64%K -61.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -6.29%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 12:20
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.89%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 10:10
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.89%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:50
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.89%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.89%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.89%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.89%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.13%E -3.56%K -25.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.76%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 10:11
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.13%E -3.56%K -25.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.76%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 10:10
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.70%EV -4.13%E -3.56%K -25.81%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.30%EV -10.11%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 09:05
SportsBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -11.50%E -2.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 07:45
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.50%E -2.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 12:10
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.23%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 09:10
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.23%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 08:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.23%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 09:11
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.23%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 09:10
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.23%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 10:59
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -7.44%E -6.64%K -61.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -16.70%E -3.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 12:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-08-29 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-08-29 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-08-29 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-08-29 13:45
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-08-29 11:41
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-08-29 13:35
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%2.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%2.9%2026-08-29 13:45