Idioma:Español
Lloyd Harris v Jack Kennedy
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lloyd Harris (Local)
Predicción 83.52%1.20momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -8.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.91%83.38%83.57%84.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.101.131.131.1890.91%88.12%88.11%84.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jack Kennedy (Visitante)
Predicción 16.48%6.07momio equitativo
EV +2.83%
Ventaja +0.454%
Kelly +0.540%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.42%16.62%16.43%19.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.725.806.2420.00%17.47%17.24%16.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Lloyd Harris (Local): 83.52%; Jack Kennedy (Visitante): 16.48%. Para Jack Kennedy (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.07. 17 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.24, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.83%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.44%EV -3.95%E -3.44%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.56%EV +2.83%E +0.454%K +0.540%G +0.015% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.44%EV -3.95%E -3.44%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.56%EV +2.83%E +0.454%K +0.540%G +0.015% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -5.62%E -4.98%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +2.17%E +0.350%K +0.418%G +0.009% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.05%EV -3.95%E -3.44%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.95%EV -0.135%E -0.022%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.62%E -4.98%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -0.299%E -0.049%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.95%E -3.44%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.12%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.12%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.12%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.62%E -4.98%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.12%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.12%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.12%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.12%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.13%E -7.39%K -81.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -1.12%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.42%E -0.762%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -4.42%E -0.762%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 16:41 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.24%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.62%E -4.98%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.24%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.62%E -4.98%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.24%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -6.07%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.84%EV -2.28%E -1.95%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.16%EV -6.89%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 09:11 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.36%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.36%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.36%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.36%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.36%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 15:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.36%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.62%E -4.98%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.36%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.62%E -4.98%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.36%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.53%EV -3.12%E -2.69%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.47%EV -9.69%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.95%E -3.44%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -11.01%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.95%E -3.44%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -11.01%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.62%E -4.98%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -11.01%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.95%E -3.44%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -13.48%E -2.57%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -14.31%E -2.75%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 16:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -1.45%E -1.23%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -16.78%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -1.45%E -1.23%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -17.60%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 16:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.95%E -3.44%K -26.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -17.60%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.60%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.60%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.60%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.60%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.60%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 10:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.61% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.39% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 14:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.76% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.24% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.64% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |