StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Lloyd Harris v Jack Kennedy

2026-08-30 16:40 UTC — ATP US Open

Direkter Vergleich

51 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Lloyd Harris (Heim)

Prognose 82.65%1.21faire Quote
EV -3.30%
Vorteil -2.82%
Kelly -19.43%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.17

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
81.04%82.63%82.76%85.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.60%87.72%85.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jack Kennedy (Auswärts)

Prognose 17.35%5.76faire Quote
EV +17.31%
Vorteil +2.56%
Kelly +3.01%
Wachstum +0.520%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.76

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.54%17.37%17.24%18.96%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.805.595.506.7620.83%17.89%18.18%14.79%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Lloyd Harris (Heim): 82.65%; Jack Kennedy (Auswärts): 17.35%. Für Jack Kennedy (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.76. 21 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 6.76 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +17.31%.

Wettanbieterquoten (51 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 85.46%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%6.76I 14.79%NM 14.54%EV +17.31%E +2.56%K +3.01%G +0.520%1.7%2026-08-29 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%3.6%2026-08-29 12:09
betano_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%3.6%2026-08-29 12:19
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%4.4%2026-08-29 09:05
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.12%E +0.687%K +0.824%G +0.034%5.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.650%E +0.112%K +0.135%G +0.001%4.2%2026-08-29 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -9.09%E -8.26%K -90.89%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV +0.650%E +0.112%K +0.135%G +0.001%8.2%2026-08-29 09:05
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.02%EV -4.13%E -3.56%K -25.81%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.98%EV -1.61%E -0.283%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 09:35
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.84%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.16%EV -1.95%E -0.346%K -0.420%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 09:11
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 09:10
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 12:20
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 09:10
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 09:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 09:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 12:15
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.56%E -0.828%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 12:09
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -5.42%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 12:10
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -5.42%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 12:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.44%E -6.64%K -61.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -6.29%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 12:20
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.89%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 10:10
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.89%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 12:50
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.89%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.89%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.89%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.61%E -5.85%K -50.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.89%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.13%E -3.56%K -25.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.76%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 10:11
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.13%E -3.56%K -25.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.76%E -1.88%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 10:10
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.70%EV -4.13%E -3.56%K -25.81%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.30%EV -10.11%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 09:05
SportsBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -4.96%E -4.31%K -33.04%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -11.50%E -2.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 07:45
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.50%E -2.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 12:10
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.23%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 09:10
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.23%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 08:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.23%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 09:11
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.23%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 09:10
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.23%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 10:59
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -7.44%E -6.64%K -61.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -16.70%E -3.48%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 12:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-08-29 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-08-29 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-08-29 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-08-29 13:45
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-08-29 11:41
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-08-29 13:35
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%2.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%2.9%2026-08-29 13:45