Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lloyd Harris v Jack Kennedy

Início: 2026-08-30 16:58 UTC

Final: Lloyd Harris 3–0 Jack Kennedy

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lloyd Harris (Local)

Previsão 83.52%1.20odd justa
EV -1.45%
Vantagem -1.23%
Kelly -8.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
80.91%83.38%83.57%84.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.101.131.131.1890.91%88.12%88.11%84.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jack Kennedy (Visitante)

Previsão 16.48%6.07odd justa
EV +2.83%
Vantagem +0.454%
Kelly +0.540%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.42%16.62%16.43%19.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.725.806.2420.00%17.47%17.24%16.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Lloyd Harris (Local): 83.52%; Jack Kennedy (Visitante): 16.48%. Para Jack Kennedy (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.07. 17 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.24, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.83%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.44%EV -3.95%E -3.44%K -26.34%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.56%EV +2.83%E +0.454%K +0.540%G +0.015%3.0%2026-08-30 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.44%EV -3.95%E -3.44%K -26.34%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.56%EV +2.83%E +0.454%K +0.540%G +0.015%3.0%2026-08-30 15:55
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -5.62%E -4.98%K -43.24%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +2.17%E +0.350%K +0.418%G +0.009%4.6%2026-08-30 15:55
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:35
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:35
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:49
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:35
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:35
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +0.525%E +0.086%K +0.103%G +0.001%5.7%2026-08-30 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.05%EV -3.95%E -3.44%K -26.34%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.95%EV -0.135%E -0.022%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.62%E -4.98%K -43.24%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -0.299%E -0.049%K -0.059%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.95%E -3.44%K -26.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -1.12%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.12%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 09:05
betano_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.12%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 15:55
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.62%E -4.98%K -43.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.12%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 15:55
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.12%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.12%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.12%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.13%E -7.39%K -81.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -1.12%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.42%E -0.762%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 16:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -4.42%E -0.762%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 16:41
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.24%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.62%E -4.98%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.24%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.62%E -4.98%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.24%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -6.07%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 16:44
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.84%EV -2.28%E -1.95%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.16%EV -6.89%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 09:11
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.36%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.36%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:50
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.36%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:45
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.36%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 15:40
BetAnything🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.36%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 15:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.36%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:55
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.62%E -4.98%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.36%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.62%E -4.98%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.36%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:40
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.53%EV -3.12%E -2.69%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.47%EV -9.69%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.95%E -3.44%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -11.01%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 15:40
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.95%E -3.44%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -11.01%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 15:40
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.62%E -4.98%K -43.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -11.01%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.95%E -3.44%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -13.48%E -2.57%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 16:35
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -14.31%E -2.75%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 16:54
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -1.45%E -1.23%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -16.78%E -3.32%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 16:55
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -1.45%E -1.23%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -17.60%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 16:54
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.95%E -3.44%K -26.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -17.60%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 16:45
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.60%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:55
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.60%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.60%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.60%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.79%E -4.20%K -34.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.60%E -3.52%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 10:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-08-30 16:45
ProphetX◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.61%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.39%0.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-08-30 16:55
Kalshi◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-08-30 14:40
Novig◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.76%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.24%1.7%2026-08-30 16:55
Smarkets◎1.14I 87.72%NM 85.64%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36%2.4%2026-08-30 16:50