Language:English
Karen Khachanov v Benjamin Bonzi
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karen Khachanov (Local)
Prediction 63.61%1.57fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -5.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.62%63.60%63.59%65.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.481.481.5370.42%67.41%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Benjamin Bonzi (Visit)
Prediction 36.39%2.75fair odd
EV +0.081%
Edge +0.030%
Kelly +0.046%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.71%36.40%36.41%37.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.28%38.39%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karen Khachanov (Local): 63.61%; Benjamin Bonzi (Visit): 36.39%. For Benjamin Bonzi (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.748. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.750, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.081%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV +0.081%E +0.030%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 12:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV +0.081%E +0.030%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.32%E -2.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.74%E -0.644%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -2.10%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 13:17 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -9.04%E -6.32%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -2.10%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.68%E -1.75%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 12:28 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.29%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.95%E -2.62%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 12:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -5.01%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 13:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.01%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.01%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 12:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 12:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 06:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 06:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 06:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:37 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 13:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.13%E -4.89%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 12:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.41%E -5.84%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -6.47%E -2.52%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 06:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 06:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 13:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -3.95%E -2.62%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -7.93%E -3.13%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.27%EV -8.41%E -5.84%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -9.74%E -3.93%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -9.68%E -6.82%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.66%E -5.27%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51% | 2.0% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |