Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karen Khachanov v Benjamin Bonzi

2026-09-05 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Prediction 65.15%1.53fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -4.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%65.03%65.14%67.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.441.5072.46%69.42%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Benjamin Bonzi (Visit)

Prediction 34.85%2.87fair odd
EV +1.07%
Edge +0.370%
Kelly +0.564%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.78%34.97%34.86%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.742.752.9040.00%36.50%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Karen Khachanov (Local): 65.15%; Benjamin Bonzi (Visit): 34.85%. For Benjamin Bonzi (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. 15 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.90, producing a positive expected value of +1.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.49%E -5.27%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +1.07%E +0.370%K +0.564%G +0.006%4.9%2026-09-04 06:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.49%E -5.27%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.375%E +0.130%K +0.199%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-04 05:40
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.49%E -5.27%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.375%E +0.130%K +0.199%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-04 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.49%E -5.27%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.375%E +0.130%K +0.199%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-04 05:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.49%E -5.27%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.375%E +0.130%K +0.199%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-04 05:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.49%E -5.27%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.375%E +0.130%K +0.199%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-04 05:40
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.49%E -5.27%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.375%E +0.130%K +0.199%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-04 05:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.49%E -5.27%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.375%E +0.130%K +0.199%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-04 05:40
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.49%E -5.27%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.375%E +0.130%K +0.199%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-04 05:40
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.49%E -5.27%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.375%E +0.130%K +0.199%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-04 05:40
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.49%E -5.27%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.375%E +0.130%K +0.199%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-04 05:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.49%E -5.27%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.375%E +0.130%K +0.199%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-04 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.49%E -5.27%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.375%E +0.130%K +0.199%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-04 05:40
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.49%E -5.27%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.375%E +0.130%K +0.199%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-04 05:40
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.49%E -5.27%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.375%E +0.130%K +0.199%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-04 05:40
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.671%E -0.235%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 05:40
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -9.44%E -6.79%K -24.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -0.671%E -0.235%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 02:55
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.41%E -0.862%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 06:55
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.41%E -0.862%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 07:00
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.88%E -3.35%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.41%E -0.862%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 07:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -10.10%E -7.32%K -26.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -2.41%E -0.862%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 05:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -3.81%E -1.38%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 06:55
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 06:48
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 06:53
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 02:55
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 02:54
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:55
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 02:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -4.85%E -1.78%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 06:54
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -5.20%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 06:55
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -5.20%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 06:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:50
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.88%E -3.35%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 06:55
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 05:10
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 06:55
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.49%E -5.27%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 07:00
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 06:50
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 06:50
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.88%E -3.35%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 06:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.79%E -6.28%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 06:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.79%E -6.28%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 06:54
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -9.73%E -3.76%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 06:50
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.82%EV -8.79%E -6.28%K -21.98%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.18%EV -10.08%E -3.91%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 06:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.13%E -4.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 06:55
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.13%E -4.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 06:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.27%EV -9.44%E -6.79%K -24.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 06:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-09-04 07:10
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-09-04 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.8%2026-09-04 07:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.8%2026-09-04 07:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.8%2026-09-04 07:10
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.8%2026-09-04 07:10
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 64.80%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.20%11.8%2026-09-04 06:55