StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Karen Khachanov v Benjamin Bonzi

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-05 15:00 UTC

Endstand: Karen Khachanov 3–0 Benjamin Bonzi

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Karen Khachanov (Heim)

Prognose 63.61%1.57faire Quote
EV -2.68%
Vorteil -1.75%
Kelly -5.06%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.53

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
62.62%63.60%63.59%65.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.421.481.481.5370.42%67.41%67.57%65.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Benjamin Bonzi (Auswärts)

Prognose 36.39%2.75faire Quote
EV +0.081%
Vorteil +0.030%
Kelly +0.046%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.71%36.40%36.41%37.38%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.28%38.39%36.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Karen Khachanov (Heim): 63.61%; Benjamin Bonzi (Auswärts): 36.39%. Für Benjamin Bonzi (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.748. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.750 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.081%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV +0.081%E +0.030%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 12:31
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV +0.081%E +0.030%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 12:30
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.32%E -2.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.74%E -0.644%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 12:30
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -2.10%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 13:17
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -9.04%E -6.32%K -21.03%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -2.10%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 12:25
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 13:15
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.68%E -1.75%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 12:30
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 12:28
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.29%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.95%E -2.62%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 12:30
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 11:30
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 12:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -5.01%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 13:14
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.01%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:15
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.01%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:15
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 11:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:30
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:00
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:30
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:15
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:37
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:14
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.13%E -4.89%K -15.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:25
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 12:29
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.41%E -5.84%K -19.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 13:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -6.47%E -2.52%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 06:55
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 06:55
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 13:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:15
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -3.95%E -2.62%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -7.93%E -3.13%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 12:25
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 13:15
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.27%EV -8.41%E -5.84%K -19.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -9.74%E -3.93%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 13:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -9.68%E -6.82%K -23.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.66%E -5.27%K -9.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 13:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-04 03:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.9%2026-09-04 13:10
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.9%2026-09-04 12:25
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%2.0%2026-09-04 12:40