默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Karen Khachanov v Benjamin Bonzi

开赛时间: 2026-09-05 15:00 UTC

最终结果: Karen Khachanov 3–0 Benjamin Bonzi

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Karen Khachanov (主队)

预测 63.61%1.57公平赔率
EV -2.68%
优势 -1.75%
Kelly -5.06%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.53

博彩公司预测分布
62.62%63.60%63.59%65.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.421.481.481.5370.42%67.41%67.57%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Benjamin Bonzi (客队)

预测 36.39%2.75公平赔率
EV +0.081%
优势 +0.030%
Kelly +0.046%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.75

博彩公司预测分布
34.71%36.40%36.41%37.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.28%38.39%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Karen Khachanov (主队):63.61%;Benjamin Bonzi (客队):36.39%。 对于“Benjamin Bonzi (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.748。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.750,对应+0.081%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV +0.081%E +0.030%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 12:31
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV +0.081%E +0.030%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 12:30
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.32%E -2.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.74%E -0.644%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 12:30
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -2.10%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 13:17
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -9.04%E -6.32%K -21.03%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -2.10%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 12:25
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 13:15
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.68%E -1.75%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 12:30
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 12:28
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.29%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.95%E -2.62%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 12:30
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 11:30
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 12:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -5.01%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 13:14
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.01%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:15
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.01%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:15
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 11:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:30
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:00
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:30
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:15
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:37
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:14
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.13%E -4.89%K -15.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:25
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 12:29
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.41%E -5.84%K -19.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 13:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -6.47%E -2.52%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 06:55
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 06:55
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 13:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:15
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -3.95%E -2.62%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -7.93%E -3.13%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 12:25
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 13:15
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.27%EV -8.41%E -5.84%K -19.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -9.74%E -3.93%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 13:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -9.68%E -6.82%K -23.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.66%E -5.27%K -9.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 13:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-04 03:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.9%2026-09-04 13:10
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.9%2026-09-04 12:25
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%2.0%2026-09-04 12:40