Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Karen Khachanov v Benjamin Bonzi

2026-09-05 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Predicción 65.08%1.54momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -4.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.96%64.95%65.06%66.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.391.451.451.5071.94%68.97%68.97%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Benjamin Bonzi (Visitante)

Predicción 34.92%2.86momio equitativo
EV -0.476%
Ventaja -0.167%
Kelly -0.257%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.02%35.05%34.94%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.682.702.8540.00%37.26%37.04%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Karen Khachanov (Local): 65.08%; Benjamin Bonzi (Visitante): 34.92%. Para Benjamin Bonzi (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.86. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.85, con un valor esperado de -0.476%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.95%E -4.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 06:55
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.38%E -1.59%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.95%E -4.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 06:55
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.03%E -2.03%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.22%E -0.794%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 06:55
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.03%E -2.03%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.22%E -0.794%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 07:55
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -3.03%E -2.03%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -9.56%E -3.69%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 06:50
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.68%E -2.49%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.68%E -2.49%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.68%E -2.49%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.33%E -2.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.97%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 06:48
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.98%E -3.41%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.22%E -0.794%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 07:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.98%E -3.41%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.98%E -3.41%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.98%E -3.41%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:15
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.98%E -3.41%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -4.98%E -3.41%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -6.06%E -2.25%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:20
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.98%E -3.41%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 06:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 07:40
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:53
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.46%E -2.82%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 05:10
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.29%E -4.37%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.97%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 07:35
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.29%E -4.37%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.97%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 02:55
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.29%E -4.37%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.97%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 07:35
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.29%E -4.37%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.97%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 02:54
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.29%E -4.37%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.97%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -6.29%E -4.37%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -4.67%E -1.71%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 06:54
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.29%E -4.37%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -5.02%E -1.84%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 06:55
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.29%E -4.37%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 08:19
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.29%E -4.37%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 08:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.29%E -4.37%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.46%E -2.82%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:20
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.94%E -4.85%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.476%E -0.167%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 05:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.94%E -4.85%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 07:24
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.94%E -4.85%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.46%E -2.82%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 06:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.94%E -4.85%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.46%E -2.82%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 08:15
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.59%E -5.34%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -7.46%E -2.82%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 07:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -8.24%E -5.84%K -20.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -10.95%E -4.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 08:20
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -8.24%E -5.84%K -20.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -10.95%E -4.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 08:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.89%E -6.35%K -22.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 06:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -8.89%E -6.35%K -22.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.70%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 08:20
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -9.54%E -6.86%K -24.46%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -1.52%E -0.540%K -0.837%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 08:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-09-04 08:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.4%2026-09-04 07:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.4%2026-09-04 07:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.4%2026-09-04 07:50
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.8%2026-09-04 08:15
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-09-04 08:05
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%3.2%2026-09-04 07:45