La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Nuevo modeloTodos los modelos

Karen Khachanov v Benjamin Bonzi

Inicio: 2026-09-05 15:00 UTC

Final: Karen Khachanov 3–0 Benjamin Bonzi

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Predicción 63.61%1.57momio equitativo
EV -2.68%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -5.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.62%63.60%63.59%65.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.481.481.5370.42%67.41%67.57%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Benjamin Bonzi (Visitante)

Predicción 36.39%2.75momio equitativo
EV +0.081%
Ventaja +0.030%
Kelly +0.046%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.71%36.40%36.41%37.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.28%38.39%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Karen Khachanov (Local): 63.61%; Benjamin Bonzi (Visitante): 36.39%. Para Benjamin Bonzi (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.748. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.750, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.081%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV +0.081%E +0.030%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 12:31
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV +0.081%E +0.030%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 12:30
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.32%E -2.18%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.74%E -0.644%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 12:30
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -2.10%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 13:17
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -9.04%E -6.32%K -21.03%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -2.10%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 12:25
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -3.19%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 13:15
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.68%E -1.75%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 12:30
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 12:28
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.29%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.95%E -2.62%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 12:30
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 11:30
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 12:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -5.01%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 13:14
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.01%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:15
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -5.01%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:15
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 11:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:30
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:00
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:30
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 06:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:15
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:37
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 13:14
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.13%E -4.89%K -15.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:25
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 12:29
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.41%E -5.84%K -19.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 13:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -6.47%E -2.52%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 06:55
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 06:55
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 13:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:15
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -3.95%E -2.62%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -7.93%E -3.13%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 12:25
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.50%E -4.42%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 13:15
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.27%EV -8.41%E -5.84%K -19.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -9.74%E -3.93%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 13:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -9.68%E -6.82%K -23.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.66%E -5.27%K -9.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 13:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-04 03:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.9%2026-09-04 13:10
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.9%2026-09-04 12:25
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%2.0%2026-09-04 12:40