Language:English
Jiri Lehecka v Toby Samuel
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prediction 70.25%1.42fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -4.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.54%70.18%70.20%71.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.351.351.4075.76%73.91%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toby Samuel (Visit)
Prediction 29.75%3.36fair odd
EV +0.546%
Edge +0.161%
Kelly +0.229%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.45%29.82%29.80%31.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.193.203.3833.33%31.39%31.25%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 70.25%; Toby Samuel (Visit): 29.75%. For Toby Samuel (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.546%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV +0.546%E +0.161%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 15:16 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.75%E -2.74%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.347%E -0.104%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.76%EV -3.05%E -2.21%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.24%EV -0.644%E -0.193%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -0.644%E -0.193%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -0.644%E -0.193%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -7.27%E -5.50%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -1.24%E -0.373%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.83%E -0.556%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.83%E -0.556%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -2.73%E -0.834%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.75%E -2.74%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 05:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 21:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -3.75%E -2.74%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -3.62%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 21:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.37%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.63%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:26 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 16:13 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 04:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.11%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.40%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 21:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.40%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 21:31 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.59%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.59%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 21:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.27%E -5.50%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.65%E -1.18%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.05%E -2.21%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.05%E -2.21%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 04:46 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.6% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |