StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jiri Lehecka v Toby Samuel

Matchstart: 2026-09-02 22:03 UTC

Slutresultat: Jiri Lehecka 3–0 Toby Samuel

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jiri Lehecka (Hemma)

Prognos 70.25%1.42rättvist odds
EV -1.65%
Fördel -1.18%
Kelly -4.12%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
68.54%70.18%70.20%71.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.321.351.351.4075.76%73.91%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Toby Samuel (Borta)

Prognos 29.75%3.36rättvist odds
EV +0.546%
Fördel +0.161%
Kelly +0.229%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.45%29.82%29.80%31.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.193.203.3833.33%31.39%31.25%29.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jiri Lehecka (Hemma): 70.25%; Toby Samuel (Borta): 29.75%. För Toby Samuel (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.36. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.38, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.546%.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV +0.546%E +0.161%K +0.229%G +0.001%3.1%2026-09-02 15:16
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.75%E -2.74%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.347%E -0.104%K -0.148%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.76%EV -3.05%E -2.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.24%EV -0.644%E -0.193%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -0.644%E -0.193%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -0.644%E -0.193%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -7.27%E -5.50%K -22.71%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -1.24%E -0.373%K -0.534%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 22:00
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.83%E -0.556%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.83%E -0.556%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 21:30
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -2.73%E -0.834%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.75%E -2.74%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 21:55
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 05:40
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 17:35
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:15
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 17:35
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -3.75%E -2.74%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -3.62%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 21:27
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.37%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.63%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 21:30
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:26
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 16:13
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 04:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 21:31
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:10
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:10
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 22:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 21:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 21:29
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:35
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.11%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 21:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.40%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 21:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.40%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 21:31
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 21:55
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 18:05
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.59%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 21:25
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.59%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 21:30
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:10
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 21:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:10
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 21:35
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:00
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:00
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 22:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.27%E -5.50%K -22.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.65%E -1.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.05%E -2.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:00
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.05%E -2.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:01
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 04:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-09-02 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-09-02 22:00
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-09-02 22:00
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-02 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-02 22:00
ProphetX◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-09-02 22:00
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-02 22:00
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-09-02 21:55