默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jiri Lehecka v Toby Samuel

开赛时间: 2026-09-02 22:03 UTC

最终结果: Jiri Lehecka 3–0 Toby Samuel

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jiri Lehecka (主队)

预测 70.25%1.42公平赔率
EV -1.65%
优势 -1.18%
Kelly -4.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.40

博彩公司预测分布
68.54%70.18%70.20%71.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.351.351.4075.76%73.91%74.07%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值

Toby Samuel (客队)

预测 29.75%3.36公平赔率
EV +0.546%
优势 +0.161%
Kelly +0.229%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.38

博彩公司预测分布
28.45%29.82%29.80%31.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.193.203.3833.33%31.39%31.25%29.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Jiri Lehecka (主队):70.25%;Toby Samuel (客队):29.75%。 对于“Toby Samuel (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.36。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.38,对应+0.546%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV +0.546%E +0.161%K +0.229%G +0.001%3.1%2026-09-02 15:16
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.75%E -2.74%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.347%E -0.104%K -0.148%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.76%EV -3.05%E -2.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.24%EV -0.644%E -0.193%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -0.644%E -0.193%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -0.644%E -0.193%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -7.27%E -5.50%K -22.71%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -1.24%E -0.373%K -0.534%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 22:00
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.83%E -0.556%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.83%E -0.556%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 21:30
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -2.73%E -0.834%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.75%E -2.74%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 21:55
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 05:40
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 17:35
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:15
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 17:35
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -3.75%E -2.74%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -3.62%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 21:27
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.37%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.63%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 21:30
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:26
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 16:13
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 04:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 21:31
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:10
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:10
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:15
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 22:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 21:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 21:29
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:35
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.11%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 21:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.40%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 21:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.40%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 21:31
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 21:55
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 18:05
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.59%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 21:25
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.59%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 21:30
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:10
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 21:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:10
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 21:35
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:00
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:00
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 22:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.27%E -5.50%K -22.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.65%E -1.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.05%E -2.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:00
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.05%E -2.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:01
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 04:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-09-02 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-09-02 22:00
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-09-02 22:00
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-02 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-02 22:00
ProphetX◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-09-02 22:00
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-02 22:00
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-09-02 21:55