Langue:Français
Jiri Lehecka v Toby Samuel
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prévision 70.25%1.42cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -4.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.54%70.18%70.20%71.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.321.351.351.4075.76%73.91%74.07%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Toby Samuel (Visiteur)
Prévision 29.75%3.36cote équitable
EV +0.546%
Avantage +0.161%
Kelly +0.229%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.45%29.82%29.80%31.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.193.203.3833.33%31.39%31.25%29.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jiri Lehecka (Local) : 70.25% ; Toby Samuel (Visiteur) : 29.75%. Pour Toby Samuel (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.36. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.38, soit une espérance positive de +0.546%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV +0.546%E +0.161%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 15:16 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.75%E -2.74%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.347%E -0.104%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.76%EV -3.05%E -2.21%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.24%EV -0.644%E -0.193%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -0.644%E -0.193%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -0.644%E -0.193%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -7.27%E -5.50%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -1.24%E -0.373%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.83%E -0.556%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.83%E -0.556%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -2.73%E -0.834%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.75%E -2.74%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 05:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 21:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.32%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -3.75%E -2.74%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -3.62%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 21:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.37%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.63%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:26 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 16:13 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 04:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.11%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.40%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 21:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.40%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 21:31 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.59%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -6.59%E -2.10%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 21:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.16%E -3.82%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.27%E -5.50%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.65%E -1.18%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.05%E -2.21%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.05%E -2.21%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -9.27%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 18:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 04:46 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.46%E -3.28%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.76%E -3.59%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.6% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 21:55 |