Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.46
assuming max odds 1.69
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaume Munar (Local): 40.56%; Arthur Rinderknech (Visit): 59.44%. For Arthur Rinderknech (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.448%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -11.98%E -5.52%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV +0.448%E +0.265%K +0.649%G +0.003% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.52%E -1.54%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.52%E -1.54%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.52%E -1.54%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.43%E -0.589%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 12:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.86%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 14:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 14:22 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.89%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 14:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.89%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.09%E -3.85%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.89%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.09%E -3.85%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -0.214%E -0.087%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 07:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 14:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -7.92%E -3.49%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -9.54%E -4.28%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |