Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaume Munar v Arthur Rinderknech

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaume Munar (Local)

Prediction 41.42%2.41fair odd
EV -0.186%
Edge -0.077%
Kelly -0.132%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.97%41.39%41.44%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.192.282.262.4145.66%43.94%44.25%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Visit)

Prediction 58.58%1.71fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -4.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%58.61%58.56%61.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.601.611.6665.79%62.33%62.11%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jaume Munar (Local): 41.42%; Arthur Rinderknech (Visit): 58.58%. For Jaume Munar (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.414. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.410, with an expected value of -0.186%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.79%EV -0.186%E -0.077%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.21%EV -2.75%E -1.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-30 23:15
SportsBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -1.43%E -0.600%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.03%EV -10.95%E -7.21%K -21.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 23:10
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.67%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -3.91%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 23:10
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 23:10
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.34%E -2.02%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 01:13
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 00:55
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 23:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 23:35
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.74%E -2.06%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 23:10
DraftKings🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -6.40%E -2.83%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 23:09
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.51%E -2.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 23:15
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 00:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 00:49
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 23:10
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.81%E -3.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.23%E -3.23%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 23:15
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.88%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 23:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.88%E -4.04%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -9.20%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 23:09
ReBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.60%EV -9.30%E -4.25%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 23:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.44%EV -9.30%E -4.25%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.56%EV -9.20%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 23:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-08-31 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.40%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.60%8.7%2026-08-31 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.40%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.60%8.7%2026-08-31 01:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.40%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.60%8.7%2026-08-31 01:15
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 36.27%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.73%12.1%2026-08-31 01:20
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 41.69%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%12.1%2026-08-30 23:10