Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jaume Munar v Arthur Rinderknech

Início: 2026-09-02 15:05 UTC

Final: Jaume Munar 0–3 Arthur Rinderknech

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jaume Munar (Local)

Previsão 40.56%2.47odd justa
EV -0.214%
Vantagem -0.087%
Kelly -0.147%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.96%40.52%40.51%43.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.172.322.302.4646.08%43.05%43.48%40.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante)

Previsão 59.44%1.68odd justa
EV +0.448%
Vantagem +0.265%
Kelly +0.649%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.22%59.48%59.49%61.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.601.611.6964.52%62.35%62.11%59.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jaume Munar (Local): 40.56%; Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante): 59.44%. Para Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.68. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.69, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.448%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -11.98%E -5.52%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV +0.448%E +0.265%K +0.649%G +0.003%5.3%2026-09-02 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.52%E -1.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.52%E -1.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 14:40
BetAnything🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.52%E -1.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 14:40
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.43%E -0.589%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-02 14:35
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-02 13:55
ReBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 13:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:49
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 13:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:55
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 13:55
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 14:00
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:05
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 12:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 13:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 13:55
BetUS🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.86%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 13:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 14:00
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 14:22
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 13:55
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.89%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:51
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:30
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:14
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 14:51
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 14:51
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 14:01
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.89%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.09%E -3.85%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 13:55
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.89%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.09%E -3.85%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 13:55
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -0.214%E -0.087%K -0.147%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:15
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 14:20
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 07:55
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 14:55
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:30
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 14:15
GTbets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -7.92%E -3.49%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -9.54%E -4.28%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 13:55
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 14:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-09-02 14:55
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-09-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-02 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-02 14:35
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-02 14:55
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-09-02 14:10
ProphetX◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-09-02 14:55