StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jaume Munar v Arthur Rinderknech

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-02 15:05 UTC

Endstand: Jaume Munar 0–3 Arthur Rinderknech

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jaume Munar (Heim)

Prognose 40.56%2.47faire Quote
EV -0.214%
Vorteil -0.087%
Kelly -0.147%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.46

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.96%40.52%40.51%43.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.172.322.302.4646.08%43.05%43.48%40.65%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Auswärts)

Prognose 59.44%1.68faire Quote
EV +0.448%
Vorteil +0.265%
Kelly +0.649%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.69

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.22%59.48%59.49%61.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.551.601.611.6964.52%62.35%62.11%59.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jaume Munar (Heim): 40.56%; Arthur Rinderknech (Auswärts): 59.44%. Für Arthur Rinderknech (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.68. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.69 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.448%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
SportsBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -11.98%E -5.52%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV +0.448%E +0.265%K +0.649%G +0.003%5.3%2026-09-02 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.52%E -1.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.52%E -1.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 14:40
BetAnything🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -2.52%E -1.54%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 14:40
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.43%E -0.589%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-02 14:35
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-02 13:55
ReBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 13:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:49
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 13:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:55
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 13:55
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 14:00
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:05
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 12:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 13:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 13:55
BetUS🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.86%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 13:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 14:00
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 14:22
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 13:55
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.89%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:51
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:30
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:14
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 14:51
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 14:51
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 14:01
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.89%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.09%E -3.85%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 13:55
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.89%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.09%E -3.85%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 13:55
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -0.214%E -0.087%K -0.147%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 14:15
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 14:20
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 07:55
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 14:55
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:30
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 14:15
GTbets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -7.92%E -3.49%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -9.54%E -4.28%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.68%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 13:55
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 14:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-09-02 14:55
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-09-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-02 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-02 14:35
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-02 14:55
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-09-02 14:10
ProphetX◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-09-02 14:55