语言:简体中文
Jakub Mensik v Jurij Rodionov
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Jakub Mensik (主队)
预测 85.05%1.18公平赔率
EV -3.04%
优势 -2.66%
Kelly -21.70%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.14
博彩公司预测分布
83.08%84.99%85.14%86.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.091.111.111.1491.74%89.75%90.09%87.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
Jurij Rodionov (客队)
预测 14.95%6.69公平赔率
EV +3.42%
优势 +0.495%
Kelly +0.578%
增长率 +0.020%
假设最高赔率为 6.92
博彩公司预测分布
13.82%15.01%14.86%16.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.366.506.9218.18%15.72%15.38%14.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Jakub Mensik (主队)：85.05%；Jurij Rodionov (客队)：14.95%。 对于“Jurij Rodionov (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.69。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.92，对应+3.42%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.18%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.82%EV +3.42%E +0.495%K +0.578%G +0.020% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.18%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.82%EV +3.42%E +0.495%K +0.578%G +0.020% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV +1.63%E +0.240%K +0.281%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +0.883%E +0.131%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +0.136%E +0.020%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +0.136%E +0.020%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.29%EV -3.04%E -2.66%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.71%EV -1.21%E -0.183%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -1.36%E -0.206%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -1.36%E -0.206%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 08:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 10:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 08:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -3.60%E -0.558%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 07:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -5.10%E -0.802%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 17:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.97%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.33I 15.80%NM 15.03%EV -5.39%E -0.852%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -5.84%E -0.927%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 15:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -7.29%E -6.69%K -81.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.74%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.26%EV -7.04%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 02:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -7.34%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.89%E -3.44%K -29.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.89%E -3.44%K -29.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 09:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.89%E -3.44%K -29.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 07:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 07:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 09:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 09:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.80%E -3.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 08:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.02% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.98% | 0.2% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 18:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 15:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29% | 1.4% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.64% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36% | 2.4% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |