Langue:Français
Jakub Mensik v Jurij Rodionov
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jakub Mensik (Local)
Prévision 85.05%1.18cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -2.66%
Kelly -21.70%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.08%84.99%85.14%86.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.091.111.111.1491.74%89.75%90.09%87.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jurij Rodionov (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.95%6.69cote équitable
EV +3.42%
Avantage +0.495%
Kelly +0.578%
Croissance +0.020%
avec la cote maximale 6.92
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.82%15.01%14.86%16.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.366.506.9218.18%15.72%15.38%14.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jakub Mensik (Local) : 85.05% ; Jurij Rodionov (Visiteur) : 14.95%. Pour Jurij Rodionov (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.69. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.92, soit une espérance positive de +3.42%.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.18%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.82%EV +3.42%E +0.495%K +0.578%G +0.020% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.18%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.82%EV +3.42%E +0.495%K +0.578%G +0.020% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV +1.63%E +0.240%K +0.281%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +0.883%E +0.131%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +0.136%E +0.020%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +0.136%E +0.020%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.29%EV -3.04%E -2.66%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.71%EV -1.21%E -0.183%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -1.36%E -0.206%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -1.36%E -0.206%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 08:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 10:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 08:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -3.60%E -0.558%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 07:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -5.10%E -0.802%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 17:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.97%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.33I 15.80%NM 15.03%EV -5.39%E -0.852%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -5.84%E -0.927%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 15:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -7.29%E -6.69%K -81.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.74%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.26%EV -7.04%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 02:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -7.34%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.89%E -3.44%K -29.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.89%E -3.44%K -29.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 09:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.89%E -3.44%K -29.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 07:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 07:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 09:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 09:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.80%E -3.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 08:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.02% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.98% | 0.2% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 18:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 15:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29% | 1.4% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.64% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36% | 2.4% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |