Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jakub Mensik v Jurij Rodionov

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jakub Mensik (Local)

Prévision 84.86%1.18cote équitable
EV -3.26%
Avantage -2.86%
Kelly -23.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.39%85.08%84.80%89.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.071.111.101.1493.46%90.47%90.91%87.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jurij Rodionov (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.14%6.60cote équitable
EV +36.29%
Avantage +4.03%
Kelly +4.54%
Croissance +1.65%

avec la cote maximale 9.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.71%14.92%15.20%17.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.106.536.509.0019.61%15.32%15.38%11.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Jakub Mensik (Local) : 84.86% ; Jurij Rodionov (Visiteur) : 15.14%. Pour Jurij Rodionov (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 6.60. 20 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 9.00, pour une espérance positive de +36.29%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -8.36%E -7.74%K -104.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +36.29%E +4.03%K +4.54%G +1.65%3.7%2026-09-01 05:34
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -4.11%E -3.64%K -31.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%2.8%2026-09-01 06:45
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:10
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:09
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:10
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:09
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:09
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:10
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:09
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.01%E +0.858%K +1.00%G +0.060%5.2%2026-09-01 06:50
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -5.81%E -5.23%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +4.49%E +0.651%K +0.761%G +0.034%4.6%2026-09-01 06:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -9.20%E -8.60%K -131.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV +2.22%E +0.329%K +0.386%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-01 06:10
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.96%E -4.43%K -41.34%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -0.051%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 06:15
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.23%EV -4.11%E -3.64%K -31.63%G +0.000%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.77%EV -1.26%E -0.194%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 06:10
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.96%E -4.43%K -41.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.57%E -0.241%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 06:13
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.57%E -0.241%K -0.285%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 05:10
SportsBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.51%E -6.89%K -83.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -1.57%E -0.241%K -0.285%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 06:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -5.81%E -5.23%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -3.84%E -0.604%K -0.717%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 06:00
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.96%E -4.43%K -41.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.35%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:00
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.96%E -4.43%K -41.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.35%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:32
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.81%E -5.23%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.35%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 05:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.81%E -5.23%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.35%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 06:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.81%E -5.23%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.35%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 06:10
Fliff🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -5.35%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 06:45
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.78%EV -4.96%E -4.43%K -41.34%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.22%EV -5.50%E -0.882%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.81%E -5.23%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -6.11%E -0.985%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 06:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.81%E -5.23%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -6.11%E -0.985%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 06:50
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.96%E -4.43%K -41.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.14%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 06:45
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.96%E -4.43%K -41.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.14%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 05:30
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.81%E -5.23%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.14%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 05:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.14%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 04:54
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -10.65%E -1.81%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 06:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -12.17%E -2.10%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 06:29
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.26%E -2.86%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.71%E -3.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 05:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.81%EV -6.66%E -6.05%K -66.58%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -19.74%E -3.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 06:00
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.94%EV -7.51%E -6.89%K -83.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -19.74%E -3.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 06:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.39%EV -7.51%E -6.89%K -83.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -22.77%E -4.46%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-01 05:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-09-01 04:30
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 86.54%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46%3.2%2026-09-01 06:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%5.7%2026-09-01 06:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%5.7%2026-09-01 06:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%5.7%2026-09-01 06:35
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%5.7%2026-09-01 06:35
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%7.7%2026-09-01 06:15
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%8.4%2026-09-01 06:35
Arbitrage (3 combinaisons) +1.18%PlayUp 1.14 (88.8%) / BoyleSports 9.00 (11.2%)Afficher les 3 combinaisons
Jakub Mensik (Local)Jurij Rodionov (Visiteur)Marge
PlayUp🎯 1.14 (88.8%)BoyleSports🎯 9.00 (11.2%)+1.18%
Coolbet🎯 1.13 (88.8%)BoyleSports🎯 9.00 (11.2%)+0.395%
GTbets🎯 1.13 (88.8%)BoyleSports🎯 9.00 (11.2%)+0.395%