StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jakub Mensik v Jurij Rodionov

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-03 18:25 UTC

Endstand: Jakub Mensik 3–1 Jurij Rodionov

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jakub Mensik (Heim)

Prognose 85.05%1.18faire Quote
EV -3.04%
Vorteil -2.66%
Kelly -21.70%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.14

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
83.08%84.99%85.14%86.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.091.111.111.1491.74%89.75%90.09%87.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jurij Rodionov (Auswärts)

Prognose 14.95%6.69faire Quote
EV +3.42%
Vorteil +0.495%
Kelly +0.578%
Wachstum +0.020%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.92

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.82%15.01%14.86%16.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.506.366.506.9218.18%15.72%15.38%14.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jakub Mensik (Heim): 85.05%; Jurij Rodionov (Auswärts): 14.95%. Für Jurij Rodionov (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.69. 6 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.92 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.42%.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.18%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.92I 14.45%NM 13.82%EV +3.42%E +0.495%K +0.578%G +0.020%4.5%2026-09-03 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.18%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.92I 14.45%NM 13.82%EV +3.42%E +0.495%K +0.578%G +0.020%4.5%2026-09-03 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV +1.63%E +0.240%K +0.281%G +0.005%4.8%2026-09-03 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +0.883%E +0.131%K +0.154%G +0.001%4.1%2026-09-03 10:00
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +0.136%E +0.020%K +0.024%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 15:20
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +0.136%E +0.020%K +0.024%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:14
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.29%EV -3.04%E -2.66%K -21.70%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.71%EV -1.21%E -0.183%K -0.216%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-03 16:00
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -1.36%E -0.206%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -1.36%E -0.206%K -0.243%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 18:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 10:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 08:10
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 09:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 10:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 09:59
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 16:00
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:30
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:30
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:30
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:30
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:30
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:30
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:29
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 14:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 09:10
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 14:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 08:10
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -3.60%E -0.558%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 07:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -5.10%E -0.802%K -0.952%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:24
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.97%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.03%EV -5.39%E -0.852%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -5.84%E -0.927%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 18:10
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 18:15
Fliff🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:00
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 15:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -7.29%E -6.69%K -81.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 08:45
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.74%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.26%EV -7.04%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 02:29
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -7.34%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.89%E -3.44%K -29.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 09:20
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.89%E -3.44%K -29.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 09:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.89%E -3.44%K -29.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 14:14
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 07:05
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 17:15
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 07:55
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 15:50
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 14:10
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 09:20
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 09:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 15:50
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 15:55
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.80%E -3.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 08:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎1.16I 86.21%NM 86.02%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.98%0.2%2026-09-03 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-09-03 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-09-03 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-09-03 18:05
Matchbook◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-09-03 17:50
Kalshi◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-09-03 15:15
ProphetX◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29%1.4%2026-09-03 17:10
Smarkets◎1.14I 87.72%NM 85.64%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36%2.4%2026-09-03 17:55