Idioma:Español
Jakub Mensik v Jurij Rodionov
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jakub Mensik (Local)
Predicción 85.05%1.18momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -2.66%
Kelly -21.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.08%84.99%85.14%86.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.091.111.111.1491.74%89.75%90.09%87.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jurij Rodionov (Visitante)
Predicción 14.95%6.69momio equitativo
EV +3.42%
Ventaja +0.495%
Kelly +0.578%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.82%15.01%14.86%16.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.506.366.506.9218.18%15.72%15.38%14.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jakub Mensik (Local): 85.05%; Jurij Rodionov (Visitante): 14.95%. Para Jurij Rodionov (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.69. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.92, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.42%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.18%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.82%EV +3.42%E +0.495%K +0.578%G +0.020% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.18%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.82%EV +3.42%E +0.495%K +0.578%G +0.020% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV +1.63%E +0.240%K +0.281%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +0.883%E +0.131%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +0.136%E +0.020%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +0.136%E +0.020%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.29%EV -3.04%E -2.66%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.71%EV -1.21%E -0.183%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -1.36%E -0.206%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -1.36%E -0.206%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 08:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 10:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 10:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -2.85%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 08:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -3.60%E -0.558%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 07:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -5.10%E -0.802%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 17:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.97%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.33I 15.80%NM 15.03%EV -5.39%E -0.852%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -5.84%E -0.927%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.44%E -5.85%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 15:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -7.29%E -6.69%K -81.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -6.59%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.74%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.26%EV -7.04%E -1.13%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 02:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.59%E -5.04%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -7.34%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.89%E -3.44%K -29.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.89%E -3.44%K -29.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 09:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.89%E -3.44%K -29.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 07:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 17:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 07:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 09:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 09:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.33%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.74%E -4.23%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.80%E -3.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 08:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.02% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.98% | 0.2% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 18:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 15:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29% | 1.4% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.64% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36% | 2.4% | 2026-09-03 17:55 |